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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.88+9.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.91+8.98vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.41+5.07vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.20+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+0.18vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+4.10vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.39+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.92+1.83vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.93+5.36vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.75-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-0.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.14-1.16vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.71-4.26vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.90-4.49vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.40-7.33vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-3.83vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.35-5.04vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.21-2.64vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.18-3.82vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.36-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.3124.1%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Berkeley-0.882.9%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Davis-0.912.6%1st Place
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9.07Arizona State University-0.414.9%1st Place
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4.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8313.7%1st Place
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6.76University of Southern California0.209.2%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.107.7%1st Place
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12.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.8%1st Place
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9.46Arizona State University-0.395.0%1st Place
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11.83University of California at Los Angeles-0.923.4%1st Place
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16.36University of California at San Diego-1.930.9%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Berkeley-0.753.5%1st Place
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12.24University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.1%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Davis-1.142.4%1st Place
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10.74San Diego State University-0.712.9%1st Place
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11.51University of California at San Diego-0.903.5%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Berkeley-0.404.0%1st Place
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14.17University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.3%1st Place
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13.96University of California at San Diego-1.351.8%1st Place
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17.36University of California at San Diego-2.210.6%1st Place
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17.18University of California at San Diego-2.180.7%1st Place
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17.93Arizona State University-2.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 24.1% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Kamille Romero | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Frank Hobson | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| samson grunwald | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Skylar Adelman | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Emma Kalway | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 21.8% |
| Cassidy Murray | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 20.5% |
| Holden Clarke | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.