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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+2.36vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.91+9.12vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+8.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+2.19vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+3.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.14+6.05vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.41+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.20-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.89vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.92+0.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.88-0.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.75-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-1.65vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.40-5.39vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.13-3.14vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.93-1.70vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.21-5.55vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.18-2.48vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-6.58vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.21-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.3125.1%1st Place
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5.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.1%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Davis-0.912.8%1st Place
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12.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.8%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.107.3%1st Place
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9.8Arizona State University-0.393.8%1st Place
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13.05University of California at Davis-1.141.7%1st Place
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9.03Arizona State University-0.416.2%1st Place
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6.75University of Southern California0.207.9%1st Place
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11.89University of California at San Diego-0.903.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.923.3%1st Place
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11.67University of California at Berkeley-0.884.0%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Berkeley-0.752.7%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.4%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Berkeley-0.403.7%1st Place
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12.86San Diego State University-1.132.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at San Diego-1.352.1%1st Place
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16.3University of California at San Diego-1.930.9%1st Place
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13.45Arizona State University-1.211.5%1st Place
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17.52University of California at San Diego-2.180.4%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.7%1st Place
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17.33University of California at San Diego-2.210.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 25.1% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamille Romero | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McKinley | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Frank Hobson | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| samson grunwald | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Blake Grossman | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 15.4% |
| William Bailly | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Cassidy Murray | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 25.6% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.