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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+6.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+7.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.31+9.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+1.91vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+3.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+3.21vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+3.59vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.29+4.33vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.38+1.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.19+3.84vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.33vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.19+1.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.68-3.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.79-10.05vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.89-11.21vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+2.50vs Predicted
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19California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-9.40vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego0.52-8.30vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-5.29vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-7.63vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59University of California at Los Angeles1.307.7%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island0.885.9%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Berkeley0.312.9%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Berkeley0.984.7%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.748.8%1st Place
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9.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.5%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.0%1st Place
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11.59Arizona State University0.743.6%1st Place
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13.33San Diego State University0.292.5%1st Place
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11.92University of Southern California0.383.3%1st Place
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14.84University of California at Davis-0.191.5%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.9%1st Place
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15.33University of California at San Diego-0.150.9%1st Place
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15.38San Diego State University-0.191.8%1st Place
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11.68University of California at San Diego0.684.2%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.7%1st Place
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5.79University of Southern California1.8913.2%1st Place
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20.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.2%1st Place
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9.6California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.2%1st Place
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11.7University of California at San Diego0.523.6%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.8%1st Place
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14.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.9%1st Place
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20.64University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| David Alexander | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Noah Barton | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Grant Janov | 12.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 25.1% | 40.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Alexander | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 22.9% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.