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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+5.84vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.89+3.82vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+6.68vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.74+7.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.20vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+3.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.38+4.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.52+2.99vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+4.06vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.88-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.84vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.19+1.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.19-0.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.31-3.25vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-7.14vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+2.40vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-3.04vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University0.29-7.03vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.15-5.38vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego0.68-10.10vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Southern California1.8913.5%1st Place
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9.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.1%1st Place
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11.63Arizona State University0.743.5%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Los Angeles1.7911.1%1st Place
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9.52California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.3%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Los Angeles1.308.2%1st Place
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12.31University of Southern California0.383.0%1st Place
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11.99University of California at San Diego0.523.2%1st Place
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14.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.6%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island0.885.3%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.6%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Berkeley0.984.8%1st Place
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15.04San Diego State University-0.191.7%1st Place
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14.76University of California at Davis-0.191.5%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Berkeley0.312.7%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.0%1st Place
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20.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.6%1st Place
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15.96University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.7%1st Place
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12.97San Diego State University0.292.8%1st Place
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15.62University of California at San Diego-0.151.7%1st Place
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11.9University of California at San Diego0.683.8%1st Place
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20.54University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alexander | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grant Janov | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| John Alexander | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Colin Olson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 23.7% | 42.2% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Noah Barton | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 23.7% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.