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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+5.00vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.74+9.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+3.81vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.89+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.52+6.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.38+4.21vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.88-0.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+4.90vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-2.14vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-3.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.68-2.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.98-5.00vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.63vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.31-3.96vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.19-2.62vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University0.29-6.09vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.15-4.53vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-0.41vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-0.19-7.24vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of California at Los Angeles1.7913.0%1st Place
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11.61Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.6%1st Place
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5.81University of Southern California1.8912.8%1st Place
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11.71University of California at San Diego0.523.9%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.2%1st Place
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7.34University of California at Los Angeles1.308.2%1st Place
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12.21University of Southern California0.382.8%1st Place
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9.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island0.885.9%1st Place
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15.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.8%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.914.9%1st Place
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9.53California Poly Maritime Academy0.974.5%1st Place
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11.96University of California at San Diego0.682.9%1st Place
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10.0University of California at Berkeley0.984.2%1st Place
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14.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.7%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Berkeley0.312.5%1st Place
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15.38San Diego State University-0.191.8%1st Place
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12.91San Diego State University0.293.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at San Diego-0.151.6%1st Place
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20.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.1%1st Place
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14.76University of California at Davis-0.192.0%1st Place
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20.86University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| David Alexander | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Colin Olson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 25.1% | 41.3% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 25.1% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.