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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 28 9 37
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 21 32 53
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 37 26 63
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 41 23 64
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 15 62 77
6 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 3 69 31 100
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 25 84 109
8 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 68 43 111
9 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 62 91 153
10 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 82 77 159
11 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 93 79 172
12 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 105 70 175
13 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 79 97 176
14 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 105 83 188
15 Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 49 147 196
16 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 129 79 208
17 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 96 112 208
18 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 127 86 213
19 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 4 121 114 235
20 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 118 140 258
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 3 3 2 4 1 1 1 15 Hannah Darrin '11
Haley Lane '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 1 2 3 2 3 6 4 21 Felipe Lopez '10
Katie Schmidt '11
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 4 1 1 1 5 3 10 25 Antonio Johnson '10
Carole Harris-Barnett '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 6 4 5 2 7 2 28 Glen Stellmacher '11 [1-6]
Christopher Fuller '12 [7]
Alyce Flanagan '13 [1-6]
Glen Stellmacher '11 [7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 5 4 8 3 6 2 9 37 Andrew Nelson '10
Meghan Mcdonald '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 7 5 8 4 8 3 41 Katherine Stephens '10
Calla Ward '10
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 9 5 6 12 8 4 5 49 Aike Burger '16
Jeffrey Hickman '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 12 8 7 7 9 11 8 62 Alex Waldron '13 [1-7]
Brendan Smith '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Sayre Creighton '12 [3-4, 7]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 8 11 13 6 7 12 11 68 Johan Jorna '14
Melody Tremain '12
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 3 13 9 9 13 10 9 6 69 Taylor Miron '16
John Dictson '12
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 11 10 10 17 12 5 14 79 Sky Cunningham '10
John Hart '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 10 12 15 10 14 14 7 82 Jenna Barnes '10
Hannah Darrow '13
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 7 13 16 11 17 16 13 93 Mike Knape '12 [1-7]
Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11 [1-4]
Katharine Weiss '12 [5-7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 19 16 12 9 11 10 19 96 Edward Rippe '11 [1-7]
Nicole Schaffer '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Quinn Stoops '12 [3-4, 7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 15 14 14 14 15 18 15 105 Michael Steffan '10 [1-7]
Linnea Rigelman '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Hanavan '13 [3-4, 7]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 17 15 11 19 18 13 12 105 Robert Sarkissian '10
Brianna Cerkiewicz '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 16 17 18 16 19 15 17 118 John Elam '11 [1-7]
Laura Yonamine '13 [1-4]
Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11 [5-7]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 4 20 18 17 18 13 19 16 121 Graham Dudik '11
Shannon Smith '12
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 18 20 19 15 20 17 18 127 Ian Crozier '09
Virginia Gregory '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 14 19 20 20 16 20 20 129 Angela Gossom '13 [1-7]
Shelby Huff '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Sophie Gryczan '13 [3-4, 7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 9 Bradley Sainsbury '10
Kathryn Smith '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 2 1 6 4 5 2 23 Erika Vranizan '12
Megan Link '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 2 4 2 4 5 6 3 26 Bryan Rust '11
Mallory Abston '10
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 3 4 12 4 2 3 2 4 31 Tate Wester '13
John Hart '11
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 10 3 5 3 2 3 6 32 William Wilder '10
Patrick Mullen '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 5 5 8 5 8 7 5 43 Jeffrey Helbling '12
David Itel '12
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 6 7 10 14 9 4 12 62 Mariah Vane '13
Rebecca Morse '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 7 9 12 11 13 8 10 70 Matt Marquardt '11
Kirsten Campbell '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 9 8 6 7 14 17 16 77 Andrew Balter '12
Taryn Hull '11
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 12 13 11 16 10 9 8 79 David Eva '12 [1-7]
Josephine Miller '13 [1-4]
Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11 [5-7]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 14 6 16 9 6 11 17 79 Ashley Vincent '12
Jaime Liljegren '12
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 13 10 15 8 7 12 18 83 Sarah Loeppky '14
Giselle Hood '12
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 11 16 7 12 15 16 7 84 Aaron Scull '12
Maximilian Lutz '13
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 8 17 13 15 11 13 9 86 Evan Carmean '11
Shannon Wu '11
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 16 11 9 10 16 15 14 91 Peter Mcgrath '13
Angela Gossom '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 15 15 14 13 17 10 13 97 Julia Purcel '10
Leila Whitney '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 17 14 17 17 18 14 15 112 Jeremy Perry '10 [1-7]
Veronica Whitley '12 [1-2, 5-7]
Emma Huey '12 [3-4]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 4 18 19 18 18 12 18 11 114 Johan Jorna '14
Caleb Hayes '11
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 19 18 19 DNF DNF DNS DNS 140 Luisa Kennefick '13 [1-7]
Pieter Verhaar '12 [1-4]
Laura Yonamine '13 [5-7]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 147 Aike Burger '16
Jeffrey Hickman '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers71717171717171
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373737373
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State75757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 166666666666666
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 278787878787878
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 377777777777777
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 45555555
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers10101010101010
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound11111111111111
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder83838383838383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 19999999
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 26666666
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 381818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 482828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 14444444
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 299999999999999
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 388888888888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 48888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 51111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 687878787878787

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers71717171717171
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373737373
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State75757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 166666666666666
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 278787878787878
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 377777777777777
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 45555555
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers10101010101010
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound11111111111111
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder83838383838383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 19999999
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 26666666
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 381818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 482828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 14444444
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 299999999999999
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 388888888888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 48888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 51111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 687878787878787
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Ian Crozier '09 Virginia Gregory '10
Pioneers Evan Carmean '11 Shannon Wu '11
Oregon State University Oregon State University Aike Burger '16 Jeffrey Hickman '13
Oregon State Aike Burger '16 Jeffrey Hickman '13
Portland State University Portland State University Sky Cunningham '10 John Hart '11
Vikings 1 Julia Purcel '10 Leila Whitney '13
Portland State University Portland State University Johan Jorna '14 Melody Tremain '12
Vikings 2 Jeffrey Helbling '12 David Itel '12
Portland State University Portland State University Taylor Miron '16 John Dictson '12
Vikings 3 Tate Wester '13 John Hart '11
Portland State University Portland State University Graham Dudik '11 Shannon Smith '12
Vikings 4 Johan Jorna '14 Caleb Hayes '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Jenna Barnes '10 Hannah Darrow '13
Ducks Andrew Balter '12 Taryn Hull '11
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Mike Knape '12 [1-7] Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11 [1-4]
Katharine Weiss '12 [5-7]
Loggers David Eva '12 [1-7] Josephine Miller '13 [1-4]
Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11 [5-7]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound John Elam '11 [1-7] Laura Yonamine '13 [1-4]
Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11 [5-7]
Puget Sound Luisa Kennefick '13 [1-7] Pieter Verhaar '12 [1-4]
Laura Yonamine '13 [5-7]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Robert Sarkissian '10 Brianna Cerkiewicz '14
Thunder Sarah Loeppky '14 Giselle Hood '12
University of Washington University of Washington Antonio Johnson '10 Carole Harris-Barnett '13
Huskies 1 Aaron Scull '12 Maximilian Lutz '13
University of Washington University of Washington Glen Stellmacher '11 [1-6]
Christopher Fuller '12 [7]		 Alyce Flanagan '13 [1-6]
Glen Stellmacher '11 [7]
Huskies 2 Bradley Sainsbury '10 Kathryn Smith '10
University of Washington University of Washington Felipe Lopez '10 Katie Schmidt '11
Huskies 3 William Wilder '10 Patrick Mullen '13
University of Washington University of Washington Hannah Darrin '11 Haley Lane '13
Huskies 4 Mariah Vane '13 Rebecca Morse '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Katherine Stephens '10 Calla Ward '10
Vikings 1 Erika Vranizan '12 Megan Link '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Alex Waldron '13 [1-7] Brendan Smith '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Sayre Creighton '12 [3-4, 7]
Vikings 2 Peter Mcgrath '13 Angela Gossom '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Angela Gossom '13 [1-7] Shelby Huff '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Sophie Gryczan '13 [3-4, 7]
Vikings 3 Ashley Vincent '12 Jaime Liljegren '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Andrew Nelson '10 Meghan Mcdonald '12
Vikings 4 Bryan Rust '11 Mallory Abston '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Edward Rippe '11 [1-7] Nicole Schaffer '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Quinn Stoops '12 [3-4, 7]
Vikings 5 Jeremy Perry '10 [1-7] Veronica Whitley '12 [1-2, 5-7]
Emma Huey '12 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Michael Steffan '10 [1-7] Linnea Rigelman '11 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Hanavan '13 [3-4, 7]
Vikings 6 Matt Marquardt '11 Kirsten Campbell '13

Conditions — 10/17/2009 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 97%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From NNW (339°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity97% Pressure1016.8 hPa Rain0.45 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · N 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.46 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →