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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 11 13 24
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 21 54 75
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 44 45 89
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 53 47 100
5 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 68 48 116
6 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 36 94 130
7 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 63 68 131
8 Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 53 93 146
9 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 110 42 152
10 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 4 82 80 162
11 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 3 109 59 168
12 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 90 80 170
13 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 85 105 190
14 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 76 119 195
15 ICSA-BUSA Participants ICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing 123 90 213
16 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 116 113 229
17 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 123 110 233
18 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 129 127 256
19 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 132 135 267
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 11 Felipe Lopez '10
Katie Schmidt '11
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 2 4 6 2 2 2 1 21 Hannah Darrin '11
Haley Lane '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 5 3 2 2 5 5 6 8 36 Antonio Johnson '10
Carole Harris-Barnett '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 5 9 3 9 4 8 5 44 Bryan Rust '11
Mallory Abston '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 4 6 12 12 3 10 3 3 53 Katherine Stephens '10
Calla Ward '10
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 9 10 7 4 4 6 7 6 53 Aike Burger '16 [1-8]
Michael Luecker '11 [1-2]
Derek Hellender '11 [3-4]
Jessica Kraemer '10 [5-8]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 7 4 14 7 14 3 10 4 63 Cara Kuhlman '11
Courtney Fearon '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 10 9 3 15 11 8 5 7 68 Craig Emmes '10
Sophie Thomas '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 12 6 10 12 12 9 9 76 Hayley Gardiner '10
Nicole Schaffer '12
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 4 13 11 15 9 8 9 4 13 82 Arthur Long '10
Julie Donohue '10
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 8 7 5 11 7 7 DNS DNS 85 Robert Berry '13
Lindsay Johnston '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 12 8 11 16 6 11 15 11 90 Alex Waldron '13
Sayre Creighton '12
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 3 14 16 13 13 10 15 12 16 109 Taylor Miron '16
John Dictson '12
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 15 17 10 17 15 13 11 12 110 Sky Cunningham '10
John Hart '11
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 18 15 19 5 13 16 13 17 116 David Eva '12
Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 11 14 16 14 OCS DSQ 14 14 123 Alexander Reed '11
Taryn Hull '11
ICSA-BUSA Participants ICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing 16 19 18 8 16 14 17 15 123 Matt Marquardt '11
Angela Gossom '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 19 13 8 18 18 17 18 18 129 Graham Dudik '11 [1-4]
Jeffrey Helbling '12 [5-8]
Caleb Hayes '11 [1-4]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [5-8]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 17 18 17 19 17 18 16 10 132 Alison Ross '12
Katharine Weiss '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 4 13 Bradley Sainsbury '10
Kathryn Smith '10
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 2 8 3 6 7 12 2 2 42 Tate Wester '13
John Hart '11
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 3 4 2 11 7 7 8 45 Andrew Nelson '10
Meghan Mcdonald '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 6 2 14 3 6 4 6 6 47 Erika Vranizan '12
Megan Link '10
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 9 6 6 4 10 2 10 1 48 Philip Gordon '12
Andrew Mohr '11
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 5 4 10 8 8 8 8 3 54 Alyce Flanagan '13
Ivy Gooch '12
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 3 11 10 2 11 5 3 5 12 59 Julia Purcel '10
Leila Whitney '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 15 11 19 7 2 6 3 5 68 Marissa Paulling '11
Hannah Darrow '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 4 9 12 9 15 9 11 11 80 Peter Mcgrath '13
Charles Hartman '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 4 12 15 8 15 12 5 4 9 80 Andrew Balter '12
Eric Bechler '14
ICSA-BUSA Participants ICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing 10 16 16 13 4 15 9 7 90 Will Wilder '10
Shannon Smith '12
Oregon State University Oregon State University Oregon State 7 5 5 10 18 13 17 18 93 Nicholas Genovese '13 [1-4]
Jeffrey Hickman '13 [5-8]
Jeffrey Hickman '13 [1-4]
Nicholas Genovese '13 [5-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 8 14 7 5 17 14 16 13 94 Aaron Scull '12
Maximilian Lutz '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 13 12 17 12 1 10 DNS DNS 105 Evan Rankin '12
Sarah Loeppky '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 14 7 15 14 14 17 13 16 110 Taylor Parrish '12
Taisuke Kamoshita '11
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 19 18 13 19 9 11 14 10 113 John Elam '11
Ellen Ytterberg '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 16 17 11 17 13 16 15 14 119 Jeremy Perry '10
Heather Rees '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 18 13 18 16 16 19 12 15 127 Johan Jorna '14 [1-4]
Graham Dudik '11 [5-8]
Melody Tremain '12 [1-4]
Caleb Hayes '11 [5-8]
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Puget Sound 17 19 9 18 19 18 18 17 135 Annin Ramsing '13 [1-4]
Josephine Miller '13 [5-8]
Josephine Miller '13 [1-4]
Annin Ramsing '13 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
ICSA-BUSA ParticipantsICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing11111111
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 133333333
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 222222222
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 344444444
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 455555555
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State66666666
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 188888888
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 299999999
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 377777777
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers1010101010101010
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound1111111111111111
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder1212121212121212
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 11515151515151515
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 21414141414141414
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 31313131313131313
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 11919191919191919
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 21717171717171717
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 31818181818181818
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 41616161616161616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
ICSA-BUSA ParticipantsICSA-BUSA Participants College Sailing11111111
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 133333333
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 222222222
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 344444444
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 455555555
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Oregon State66666666
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 188888888
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 299999999
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 377777777
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers1010101010101010
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Puget Sound1111111111111111
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder1212121212121212
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 11515151515151515
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 21414141414141414
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 31313131313131313
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 11919191919191919
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 21717171717171717
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 31818181818181818
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 41616161616161616
School / Team SkipperCrew
ICSA-BUSA Participants ICSA-BUSA Participants Matt Marquardt '11 Angela Gossom '13
College Sailing Will Wilder '10 Shannon Smith '12
Oregon State University Oregon State University Aike Burger '16 [1-8] Michael Luecker '11 [1-2]
Derek Hellender '11 [3-4]
Jessica Kraemer '10 [5-8]
Oregon State Nicholas Genovese '13 [1-4]
Jeffrey Hickman '13 [5-8]		 Jeffrey Hickman '13 [1-4]
Nicholas Genovese '13 [5-8]
Portland State University Portland State University Sky Cunningham '10 John Hart '11
Vikings 1 Tate Wester '13 John Hart '11
Portland State University Portland State University Graham Dudik '11 [1-4]
Jeffrey Helbling '12 [5-8]		 Caleb Hayes '11 [1-4]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [5-8]
Vikings 2 Johan Jorna '14 [1-4]
Graham Dudik '11 [5-8]		 Melody Tremain '12 [1-4]
Caleb Hayes '11 [5-8]
Portland State University Portland State University Taylor Miron '16 John Dictson '12
Vikings 3 Julia Purcel '10 Leila Whitney '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Craig Emmes '10 Sophie Thomas '10
Ducks 1 Philip Gordon '12 Andrew Mohr '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Cara Kuhlman '11 Courtney Fearon '11
Ducks 2 Marissa Paulling '11 Hannah Darrow '13
University of Oregon University of Oregon Alexander Reed '11 Taryn Hull '11
Ducks 3 Taylor Parrish '12 Taisuke Kamoshita '11
University of Oregon University of Oregon Arthur Long '10 Julie Donohue '10
Ducks 4 Andrew Balter '12 Eric Bechler '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound David Eva '12 Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11
Loggers John Elam '11 Ellen Ytterberg '12
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Alison Ross '12 Katharine Weiss '12
Puget Sound Annin Ramsing '13 [1-4]
Josephine Miller '13 [5-8]		 Josephine Miller '13 [1-4]
Annin Ramsing '13 [5-8]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Robert Berry '13 Lindsay Johnston '13
Thunder Evan Rankin '12 Sarah Loeppky '14
University of Washington University of Washington Antonio Johnson '10 Carole Harris-Barnett '13
Huskies 1 Aaron Scull '12 Maximilian Lutz '13
University of Washington University of Washington Hannah Darrin '11 Haley Lane '13
Huskies 2 Alyce Flanagan '13 Ivy Gooch '12
University of Washington University of Washington Felipe Lopez '10 Katie Schmidt '11
Huskies 3 Bradley Sainsbury '10 Kathryn Smith '10
Western Washington University Western Washington University Hayley Gardiner '10 Nicole Schaffer '12
Vikings 1 Jeremy Perry '10 Heather Rees '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Bryan Rust '11 Mallory Abston '10
Vikings 2 Andrew Nelson '10 Meghan Mcdonald '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Alex Waldron '13 Sayre Creighton '12
Vikings 3 Peter Mcgrath '13 Charles Hartman '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Katherine Stephens '10 Calla Ward '10
Vikings 4 Erika Vranizan '12 Megan Link '10

Conditions — 10/31/2009 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1022.6 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From WSW (248°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine3.0 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1022.6 hPa Rain0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn · NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oregon: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.20)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.48 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 18% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oregon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Oregon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →