SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 18 10 28
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 22 21 43
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 36 25 61
4 Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 34 34 68
5 Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 21 61 82
6 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 40 47 87
7 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 63 38 101
8 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 54 52 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 2 1 2 5 1 4 1 18 Nicholas Voss '12 [1-8]
Brogan Abernethy '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Chelsea Rivera '12 [5-6]
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 4 5 3 1 2 3 1 2 21 Matthew Bradley '11
Kara Bushman '11
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 5 5 1 2 3 4 22 Will Stocke '13
Diana Mae Cabili '11
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 3 6 4 4 4 6 2 5 34 J Hoyt '11
Jason Limbach '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 4 6 3 3 7 5 3 36 Eric Stickney '11
Julia Melton '12
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 6 3 2 6 6 5 6 6 40 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 7 7 7 8 7 4 7 7 54 Michael Todd '11
Joseph Collura '11
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 63 Elliot Evins '13
Michael Getz '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 10 David Hernandez '12 [1-8]
Chelsea Carlson '13 [1-6]
Liam Munzenmaier '13 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 2 4 3 2 2 3 3 21 David Harrison '13
Casey Bowles-Jenner '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 4 5 2 3 3 1 2 25 Emilie Mademann '12
David Balogh '12
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 3 3 3 5 7 5 4 4 34 Jonathon Norcross '11
Jordan Anduaga-Todd '14
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 4 5 1 4 4 4 8 8 38 Sarah Newberry '10
Lucas Ballestin '12
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 6 6 6 7 6 6 5 5 47 Chloe Mallet '12
Mark Anderson '13
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 7 7 7 6 5 8 6 6 52 Patrick Oglesby '11
Nicholas Bostic '12
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 61 Mason Keith '11
Ryanna Becker '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11335577
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic22886644
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech33557711
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville44228866
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes88664422
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College55771133
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins66442288
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls77113355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22446688
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic11775533
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech44668822
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville33117755
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77553311
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College66882244
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins55331177
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88224466

Conditions — 10/10/2009 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

85°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 80°F
Feels like 93°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From SSE (158°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1016.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →