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SAISA South Points #6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 22 9 31
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 12 24 36
3 Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 22 18 40
4 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 30 52 82
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 55 41 96
6 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 41 55 96
7 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 57 43 100
8 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 50 52 102
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 12 David Harrison '13
Tristen Vail '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 1 1 3 6 3 5 22 Michael Whelden '11
Elizabeth Tomaselli '13
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 22 Seth Pierce '11
Ian Nora '14
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 3 5 4 4 4 3 4 3 30 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 8 2 7 5 5 4 6 4 41 Brian Clarke '12
Lisa Heinemann '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 7 7 5 6 6 5 8 6 50 Adam Deprimo '11
Kaitlin Kramer '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 6 6 6 8 8 7 5 DNF 55 Marcy Butz '13
Megan Clark '13
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 5 8 8 7 7 8 7 7 57 Patrick Oglesby '11
Lily Everson '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 Emilie Mademann '12
Catherine Hamman '12
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 18 Tristan Jackson '11
Blake Pierce '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 3 4 4 2 3 3 3 2 24 Bryan White '13
Erin Mckie '10
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 4 3 2 4 4 7 8 DNF 41 Diana Mae Cabili '11
Casey Mcgauran '12
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 5 7 5 7 5 6 4 4 43 Kristoffer Bostic '11
Nicholas Bostic '12
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 6 6 7 6 7 5 6 DNF 52 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 8 5 8 5 6 4 7 DNF 52 Andrew Davis '12
Meredith Fairchild '12
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 8 6 8 8 8 5 5 55 Maxwell Shuman '13
Brandon Lester '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33445566
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators4433101099
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech55667788
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville66554433
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins7788991010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 188776655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 21010998877
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 39910103344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1111121213131414
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators1212111118181717
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech1313141415151616
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville1414131312121111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins1515161617171818
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 11616151514141313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 21818171716161515
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 31717181811111212

Conditions — 10/17/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.8 kn
avg  ·  max 13.9 kn
Gusts to 26.4 kn
From NNW (330°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine7.7 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Eckerd: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →