Breeze: SW about 8 kn
(weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at William and Mary in this breeze: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.
Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0):
positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about
9% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is
no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star.
How this is estimated · compare venues.
Orderliness beyond the fleet at William and Mary by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface;
dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at William and Mary, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).
