Nittany Lion Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 American University American University American 15 13 28
2 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 16 22 38
3 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 6 41 47
4 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 31 21 52
5 Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 33 20 53
6 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 28 31 59
7 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore 40 23 63
8 Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 47 45 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Tyler Kennedy '12
Emily Mccarthy '13
American University American University American 3 3 3 2 2 2 15 Billy Hluchan '12
Chaselynn Collins '12
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 2 2 2 4 3 3 16 Christian Geary '14
Matthew Guenther '14
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 5 6 4 3 5 5 28 Jarrett Scherrer '12
Eliza Crawford '14
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 4 4 5 7 4 7 31 Ian Hunt '13
Olivia Robertson '15
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 6 5 7 5 6 4 33 Troy Zangle '13
Marc Smith '13
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore 7 8 6 6 7 6 40 Christopher Cormier '13
Dennis Seuferling '13
Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 8 7 8 8 8 8 47
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
American University American University American 3 1 1 2 1 5 13 Noel Klingler '12
Reese Mcardle '13
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 2 5 BKD 1 6 3 20 Jack Oczeretko '12 [1-6]
Connor O\'Sullivan '14 [1-4]
Samantha Griswold '14 [5-6]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 1 6 6 4 3 1 21 John Handel '12 [1-6]
Christopher Sullivan '12 [1-4]
Michelle Mason '14 [5-6]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens DSQ 2 2 3 4 2 22 Peter Mccauley '11
Jakub Hojdas '12
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore 4 4 3 6 2 4 23 Christopher Cormier '13
Dennis Seuferling '13
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 5 3 4 5 7 7 31 Michelle Ostran '11 [1-2]
Brian Hulse '12 [3-6]
Caitlin Hickey '12 [1-2]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings DSQ DNF 5 7 5 6 41 Geneva O'Brien '14 [1-6]
Joseph Bless '14 [1-2]
Alyssa Canobbio '11 [3-4]
Kristina Severino '14 [5-6]
Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 6 7 8 8 8 8 45
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
American UniversityAmerican University American113377
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore226688
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings337799
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions66881717
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Penn State779911
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester88171722
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens991133
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute17172266

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
American UniversityAmerican University American226688
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore337799
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings66881717
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions779911
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Penn State88171722
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester991133
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens17172266
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute113377

Conditions — 10/23/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1020.8 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From W (261°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover26% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1020.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Penn State: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.31 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Penn State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Penn State: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →