Navigate

Princeton Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 21 20 41
2 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 30 46 76
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 62 41 103
4 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 61 58 119
5 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 66 60 126
6 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 69 84 153
7 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 83 83 166
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 21 Amanda Johnson '11
Kelsi Schoenrock '12
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 1 2 30 Mary Gamber '11 [1-14]
Paige Tsai '13 [1-8]
Jennifer Haak '13 [9-14]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 3 5 7 7 7 3 1 4 2 5 3 4 4 6 61 Joan Boyle '14
Natalie Launchi '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 4 5 4 5 4 3 2 5 3 7 5 6 4 62 Amanda Tooker '11
Bridget Dalton '13
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 6 3 4 6 3 7 7 6 4 4 6 2 3 5 66 Irene Jacqz '13
Melissa Bermudez '12
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 7 6 2 5 4 6 6 5 6 6 4 6 5 1 69 Arielle Morgan '13
Sydney Goodfellow '12
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 4 7 6 3 6 5 5 7 7 7 5 7 7 7 83 Autumn Hoover '12
Emily Mccarthy '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 20 Emma Kofmehl '13
Sofia Gerard '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 2 1 1 2 2 5 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 41 Mia Cooper '14
Elizabeth Wegmann '12
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 5 3 5 5 7 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 46 Eleanor Elbert '12 [1-8]
Katherine Costello '12 [9-14]
Caitlin Downey '13 [1-8]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 4 5 4 3 3 2 4 5 6 5 4 4 5 58 Jennifer Mislinski '11
Erin Maccausland '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 3 3 4 2 6 5 4 7 3 3 6 5 5 4 60 Stephanie Hart '12
Alison Rosenfeld '13
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 7 6 7 7 4 4 7 5 6 5 4 7 7 7 83 Jamie Wasco '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Geneva O'Brien '14 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Rebecca Johnson '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-14]
Rayanna Ashworth '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 5 7 6 6 7 6 6 2 7 7 7 6 6 6 84 Melissa Dupuis '12
Katie Pedersen '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11446688225577
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons22557711446688
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams44668822557711
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings55771144668822
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers66882255771144
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers77114466882255
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels88225577114466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22557711446688
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons44668822557711
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams55771144668822
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings66882255771144
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers77114466882255
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers88225577114466
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels11446688225577

Conditions — 09/25/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1009.6 hPa

Temperature

84°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From WSW (257°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1009.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · NE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Princeton: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Princeton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Princeton, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →