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Sound Invitational, SS 6

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 31 31
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 47 47
3 Providence College Providence College Friars 1 50 50
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 61 61
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 61 61
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 71 71
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 95 95
8 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 118 118
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 119 119
10 Providence College Providence College Friars 2 122 122
11 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 1 151 151
12 Yale University Yale University Elis 153 153
13 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 1 158 158
14 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 177 177
15 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 2 192 192
16 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 2 205 205
17 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 2 230 230
18 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 1 230 230
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 4 3 3 4 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 4 3 31 T. Max Bulger '13
Sara Makaretz '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 2 1 5 1 3 2 6 4 2 6 8 6 47 Cecilia Strombeck '11
Brandon Kaufmann '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 1 3 5 8 3 5 4 3 3 3 3 7 1 2 50 Gregory Cassidy '13
Caroline Doyle '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 7 5 1 4 1 4 8 7 7 5 5 5 61 Helen Lord '14
Tucker Adams '11
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 5 4 4 6 7 10 5 2 1 6 4 3 4 61 William Simon '14
Marjorie Anne Balcorta '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 1 7 2 6 6 8 4 5 4 2 OCS 1 71 Jacob Denney '13
Paula Grasberger '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 10 6 2 7 10 7 7 9 6 8 10 6 7 95 Thomas Chronert '13
Catherine Leknes '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 8 10 9 11 9 8 14 7 11 11 3 9 8 118 Douglas Young '12
Samuel Morley '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 11 11 12 10 3 5 11 11 12 12 8 2 11 119 Zachary O'Brien '13
Julia Horenstein '14
Providence College Providence College Friars 2 7 9 6 16 8 9 9 10 9 5 9 11 14 122 Christopher Barber '16
Julie Donovan '13
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 1 9 8 10 14 13 14 13 14 13 14 13 7 9 151 Steven Apperle '12 [1-13]
Emily Greagori '13 [1, 3-13]
Becca Lingard '11 [2]
Yale University Yale University Elis 12 13 11 15 12 12 10 12 14 10 12 10 10 153 Nace Cohen '14 [1-13]
Madeline Yozwiak '14 [1-9]
Alexa Chu '11 [10-13]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 1 16 12 15 8 11 11 6 5 8 9 DNS DNS DNS 158 Alex Hering '13 [1-13]
Lindsay Ware '?? [1-3, 10-13]
Dj Pothier '11 [4-9]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 13 15 13 13 15 13 15 15 15 15 11 12 12 177 Zachary Foreman '13 [1-13]
Alexa Chu '11 [1-3]
Katherine Eshel '13 [4-12]
Madeline Yozwiak '14 [13]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 2 17 14 14 12 14 16 12 13 10 13 DNS DNS DNS 192 Kim Parker '13
Chelsea Abbenante '14
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 2 14 17 16 18 18 17 17 16 16 16 14 13 13 205 Gregory Henkelman '13 [1-13]
Michael Hoffman '12 [1, 3-13]
Mary Herman '13 [2]
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 2 15 16 17 17 17 18 16 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 230 Marco Catipovic '14
Katherine Sheffy '13
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 1 DNS DNS DNS 9 16 15 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 230 Korey Charles '12
Marcella Felde '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs 11111111111111
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs 22222222222222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 13333333333333
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 24444444444444
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 15555555555555
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 26666666666666
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats 17777777777777
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats 28888888888888
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners 19999999999999
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners 210101010101010101010101010
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars 113131313131313131313131313
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars 214141414141414141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 117171717171717171717171717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 218181818181818181818181818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya15151515151515151515151515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos16161616161616161616161616
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs19191919191919191919191919
Yale UniversityYale University Elis20202020202020202020202020
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 1 Korey Charles '12 Marcella Felde '13
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 2 Marco Catipovic '14 Katherine Sheffy '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 Cecilia Strombeck '11 Brandon Kaufmann '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 Helen Lord '14 Tucker Adams '11
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 1 Steven Apperle '12 [1-13] Emily Greagori '13 [1, 3-13]
Becca Lingard '11 [2]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 2 Gregory Henkelman '13 [1-13] Michael Hoffman '12 [1, 3-13]
Mary Herman '13 [2]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 1 Alex Hering '13 [1-13] Lindsay Ware '?? [1-3, 10-13]
Dj Pothier '11 [4-9]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 2 Kim Parker '13 Chelsea Abbenante '14
Providence College Providence College Friars 1 Gregory Cassidy '13 Caroline Doyle '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 2 Christopher Barber '16 Julie Donovan '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya T. Max Bulger '13 Sara Makaretz '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos Jacob Denney '13 Paula Grasberger '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 Thomas Chronert '13 Catherine Leknes '14
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 William Simon '14 Marjorie Anne Balcorta '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 Douglas Young '12 Samuel Morley '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 Zachary O'Brien '13 Julia Horenstein '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs Zachary Foreman '13 [1-13] Alexa Chu '11 [1-3]
Katherine Eshel '13 [4-12]
Madeline Yozwiak '14 [13]
Yale University Yale University Elis Nace Cohen '14 [1-13] Madeline Yozwiak '14 [1-9]
Alexa Chu '11 [10-13]

Conditions — 10/23/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1019.2 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From W (273°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1019.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Yale: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.29 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yale by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Yale).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →