Troy Swetman

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 28 16 44
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 30 21 51
3 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 62 34 96
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 48 56 104
5 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 7 48 60 108
6 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 44 66 110
7 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 76 60 136
8 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 5 67 93 160
9 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 8 91 74 165
10 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 73 98 171
11 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 6 100 82 182
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 6 2 1 3 2 3 2 4 1 4 28 Scott Proctor '11
Hazel Mahony '11
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 4 1 3 2 1 4 1 6 6 2 30 Alfred Robbins '12
Megan Chan Chow '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 2 3 4 5 4 10 8 1 2 5 44 Collin Weston '13
Leslie Holt '12
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 7 1 5 9 4 5 5 3 10 5 1 48 Rebekka Urbina '12
Michael Sager '14
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 3 6 2 11 3 1 4 3 4 11 48 Laura Stamets '12
Jessica Malone '12
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 8 4 5 1 7 7 9 8 7 6 62 Schuyler Hemmerdinger '12
Kimberly Portais-Rolfson '11
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 5 7 DSQ 7 6 6 2 10 2 8 7 67 Benjamin Kennady '13
Jasmine Baloch '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 5 DSQ 8 9 8 9 5 5 9 3 73 Ryan Carden '12
Aly Gazzola '14
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 9 7 6 7 10 11 7 7 3 9 76 Christian Caldwell '13
Maxwell Greene '14
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 8 10 8 10 10 11 6 6 11 11 8 91 Conrad Wineland '12
Ryan Carden '12
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 6 DSQ DSQ 11 8 9 8 11 9 10 10 100 Nicholas Chong '13
Patricia Boston '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 4 1 16 Caleb Cunningham '12
Ellen Hayes '11
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 2 1 4 3 2 2 3 1 1 2 21 Coleman Terrell '14
Jonathan Atwood '12
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 5 3 2 2 6 3 1 3 5 4 34 Mary Duncan '11
Lucy Biggers '12
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 3 5 5 7 5 4 9 5 8 5 56 Stuart Conrad '13
William Cline '14
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 4 6 3 4 4 8 5 6 10 10 60 John Hunter '14
Caroline Marshall '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 7 8 7 9 9 3 7 4 7 3 3 60 Christopher Foster '14
Sara Million '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 6 4 7 8 9 6 8 4 6 8 66 Nicholas Kirk '14
Jacob Kerr '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 8 11 8 6 6 7 5 7 9 9 6 74 Ryan Carden '12
Sara Rogers '14
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 6 9 11 8 5 8 9 6 8 11 7 82 Aly Gazzola '14 [1-10]
Brittney Crawford '14 [1-8]
Haley Walker '18 [9-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 5 7 9 11 10 11 11 10 11 2 11 93 Patricia Boston '12
Daniel Dalgleish '11
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 10 10 10 11 10 10 11 10 7 9 98 Caitlin Bezecny '18
Joseph Duffy '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes1133557799
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns111111335577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1335577991111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 244668810101212
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3557799111111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 466881010121222
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 5779911111133
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 688101012122244
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 7991111113355
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 810101212224466
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave121222446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes224466881010
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns121222446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 144668810101212
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2557799111111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 366881010121222
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4779911111133
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 588101012122244
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 6991111113355
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 710101212224466
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 8111111335577
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave1133557799

Conditions — 10/02/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 33%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From NNE (15°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity33% Pressure1016.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →