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Kathryn Hammond Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 18 26 44
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 39 43 82
3 University of Texas University of Texas Texas 58 50 108
4 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 71 45 116
5 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 58 71 129
6 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 77 74 151
7 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 75 82 157
8 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 112 104 216
9 Bears Bears Bears 100 MRP 121 MRP 221 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 18 Alexander Sachs '12
Emma Pfohman '13
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 5 5 2 1 3 5 3 2 2 4 4 2 39 Benjamin Kennady '13 [1-13]
Sara Stafford '15 [1-4, 9-13]
Amanda Arrowood '15 [5-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 1 7 5 3 2 1 6 DSQ DSQ 2 5 3 58 Caleb Cunningham '12 [1-13]
Courtney Powell '13 [1-4]
Marissa Morrison '15 [5-8]
William Cragin '15 [9-10]
Erica Lassen '14 [11-13]
University of Texas University of Texas Texas 5 4 3 4 DNF 5 4 2 4 3 3 7 4 58 Ellen Nielsen '15
Sarah Douglas '15
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 4 3 4 8 4 8 7 4 6 5 7 6 5 71 Christian Caldwell '13
Tess Porter '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 7 7 6 3 7 6 6 7 5 6 5 3 7 75 Chelsea Bethancourt '12 [1-13]
Chelsea Till '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lauren Ostrowski '14 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Rachel Reddig '14 [13]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 BYE BYE 8 7 6 7 8 8 3 4 6 2 6 77 Conner Fullerton '12 [1-13]
America Gonzalez '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Alice Baker '14 [5-6, 9-10]
Colin Feik '13 [11-13]
Bears Bears Bears 6 6 1 6 5 4 3 5 7 7 DNS DNS DNS 100 MRP
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 8 8 9 9 8 9 9 DNF 8 DNF 8 8 8 112 Harrison Wicks '12
Jeremy Ragster '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 2 1 1 1 4 5 1 2 2 1 2 2 26 John O'Riordan '12
Nina Synnestvedt '14
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 3 2 2 2 5 3 4 3 1 5 5 4 43 Nicholas Chong '13 [1-13]
Rachel Mcmahon '15 [1-4, 7-12]
Paige Meineke '14 [5-6, 13]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 1 4 3 4 7 1 1 5 1 5 6 4 3 45 Ben Haller '12
Emily Sayrs '13
University of Texas University of Texas Texas 5 1 5 3 8 8 4 2 4 3 3 3 1 50 Masie Comen '15 [1-13]
Nicola Looney '15 [1-4]
Allison Wells '?? [5-6]
Dana Dinsmore '14 [7-13]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 5 4 5 DSQ DSQ 2 6 8 4 2 6 6 71 Richard Cathriner '14 [1-4, 6-8, 11-13]
William Cragin '15 [5, 9-10]
William Cragin '15 [1-4, 6, 11-13]
Richard Cathriner '14 [5, 9-10]
Marissa Morrison '15 [7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 8 8 DSQ DSQ 3 2 6 3 6 8 4 1 5 74 Travis Conger '14 [1-2, 5-13]
Colin Feik '13 [3-4]
Hannah Upton '13 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Michael Hearn '13 [3-4, 9-10, 13]
Colin Feik '13 [5-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 6 7 6 6 4 6 7 8 5 6 7 7 7 82 Megan Woodring '14 [1-10]
Lauren Ostrowski '14 [11-13]
Rachel Reddig '14 [1-10]
Chelsea Till '15 [11-13]
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 9 9 DNS 8 5 7 9 9 7 7 8 8 8 104 Steven Grigsby '13
Joann Henkel '13
Bears Bears Bears 7 6 7 7 6 3 8 7 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 121 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
BearsBears Bears1122334455668
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes6677889911224
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams2233445566779
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas7788991122335
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns8899112233446
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Texas9911223344557
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 13344556677881
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 24455667788992
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies5566778899113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
BearsBears Bears1122334455779
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes6677889911335
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams2233445566881
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas7788991122446
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns8899112233557
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Texas9911223344668
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 13344556677992
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 24455667788113
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies5566778899224
School / Team SkipperCrew
Fordham University Fordham University Alexander Sachs '12 Emma Pfohman '13
Rams John O'Riordan '12 Nina Synnestvedt '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Conner Fullerton '12 [1-13] America Gonzalez '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Alice Baker '14 [5-6, 9-10]
Colin Feik '13 [11-13]
Aggies 1 Travis Conger '14 [1-2, 5-13]
Colin Feik '13 [3-4]		 Hannah Upton '13 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Michael Hearn '13 [3-4, 9-10, 13]
Colin Feik '13 [5-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Chelsea Bethancourt '12 [1-13] Chelsea Till '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lauren Ostrowski '14 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Rachel Reddig '14 [13]
Aggies 2 Megan Woodring '14 [1-10]
Lauren Ostrowski '14 [11-13]		 Rachel Reddig '14 [1-10]
Chelsea Till '15 [11-13]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Benjamin Kennady '13 [1-13] Sara Stafford '15 [1-4, 9-13]
Amanda Arrowood '15 [5-8]
Aggies Nicholas Chong '13 [1-13] Rachel Mcmahon '15 [1-4, 7-12]
Paige Meineke '14 [5-6, 13]
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Christian Caldwell '13 Tess Porter '14
Buffaloes Ben Haller '12 Emily Sayrs '13
University of North Texas University of North Texas Harrison Wicks '12 Jeremy Ragster '13
North Texas Steven Grigsby '13 Joann Henkel '13
University of Texas University of Texas Caleb Cunningham '12 [1-13] Courtney Powell '13 [1-4]
Marissa Morrison '15 [5-8]
William Cragin '15 [9-10]
Erica Lassen '14 [11-13]
Longhorns Richard Cathriner '14 [1-4, 6-8, 11-13]
William Cragin '15 [5, 9-10]		 William Cragin '15 [1-4, 6, 11-13]
Richard Cathriner '14 [5, 9-10]
Marissa Morrison '15 [7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Ellen Nielsen '15 Sarah Douglas '15
Texas Masie Comen '15 [1-13] Nicola Looney '15 [1-4]
Allison Wells '?? [5-6]
Dana Dinsmore '14 [7-13]

Conditions — 10/22/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 23.9 kn
From S (187°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.44 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →