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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 17 10 27
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 16 14 30
3 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 31 25 56
4 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 32 27 59
5 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 29 30 59
6 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington 47 32 79
7 Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 27 56 83
8 Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 48 36 84
9 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 39 65 104
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 48 56 104
11 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 65 48 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 1 1 7 3 3 16 Aroldo De Rienzo '13
Elizabeth Rahn '15
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 3 4 2 1 1 17 Harrison Cabiness '12
Cali Mcgovern '14
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 8 2 8 3 2 4 27 Samuel Hodges '13
Rachael Payton '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 4 6 1 8 5 29 Amy Kubie '14
Mary Massalon '14
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 7 5 5 8 4 2 31 Ervin Grove '11
Amy Benefield '15
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 2 6 2 5 6 11 32 Robert Marshall '15
Hammond Edwards '15
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 3 10 3 4 DNF 7 39 Edward Miller '13
Simone Abella '13
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington 4 8 10 10 9 6 47 Oliver Evans '12
Jeffrey Pyles '14
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 9 9 9 6 7 8 48 Lauren Mclean '13
Dave Shaw '12
Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 10 7 7 9 5 10 48 Rachelle Falk '12
Amelia Montgomery '12
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 11 11 11 11 DNF 9 65 Dustin Simons '14
David Rogers '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 1 1 3 3 1 10 Drew Lisicki '12
Emily Klug '14
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 2 2 5 1 2 14 John Reddaway '15
Abhay Baliga '14
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 6 5 3 2 6 3 25 Lucas Kindervater '13
Bryson Scruggs '15
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 4 3 6 6 2 6 27 Donald Parker '15
William Montgomery '14
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 7 4 7 5 4 30 Connor Murphy '16
Morgan Buckley '15
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington 5 4 5 1 9 8 32 Cole Barney '14
Kiera Googins '15
Davidson College Davidson College Davidson 7 8 8 4 4 5 36 Patrick Muller '12
Aidan Rogowski '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University North Carolina State 9 6 7 9 10 7 48 Brion Capo '12
Daniel Ahern '15
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 8 9 9 10 8 DNF 56 Caroline Cave '12
Pierre Noebes '14
Auburn University Auburn University Auburn 11 11 10 8 7 9 56 Reeves Hollar '13
Megan Lennox '13
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 10 10 11 11 11 DNF 65 Sommers Kline '14
David Conningham '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn113355
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars446688
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel224466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers335577
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Davidson557799
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia66881010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77991111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State88101011
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers10101133
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington99111122
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt11112244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Auburn224466
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars557799
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel335577
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers446688
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Davidson66881010
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia77991111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets88101011
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University North Carolina State99111122
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers11112244
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington UNC Wilmington10101133
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt113355

Conditions — 09/25/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.6 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From E (92°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine4.4 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1015.1 hPa Rain0.25 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →