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Underdog Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Friars Friars Friars 6 7 13
2 Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 22 20 42
3 Judges Judges Judges 26 19 45
4 Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs 17 32 49
5 Huskies Huskies Huskies 26 25 51
6 Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers 36 19 55
7 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 40 45 85
8 Blue Blue Blue 47 51 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT
Friars Friars Friars 1 1 1 1 1 1 6
Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs 3 2 2 3 3 4 17
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 2 4 3 6 2 5 22
Huskies Huskies Huskies 4 5 4 5 5 3 26
Judges Judges Judges 7 6 5 2 4 2 26
Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers 6 7 6 4 6 7 36
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 5 8 7 7 7 6 40
Blue Blue Blue 8 3 DNF DNF DNF DNF 47
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT
Friars Friars Friars 1 2 1 RDG 1 1 7
Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers 2 1 3 1 6 6 19
Judges Judges Judges 3 4 2 3 4 3 19
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 5 3 4 4 2 2 20
Huskies Huskies Huskies 6 5 5 2 3 4 25
Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs Lord Jeffs 4 6 7 5 5 5 32
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 7 8 6 6 DNF DNF 45
Blue Blue Blue 8 7 DNF DNF DNF DNF 51
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Lord JeffsLord Jeffs Lord Jeffs112255
JudgesJudges Judges225566
HuskiesHuskies Huskies556677
BuccaneersBuccaneers Buccaneers667799
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats9910101111
FriarsFriars Friars77991010
BlueBlue Blue1010111111
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals11111122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Lord JeffsLord Jeffs Lord Jeffs112255
JudgesJudges Judges225566
HuskiesHuskies Huskies556677
BuccaneersBuccaneers Buccaneers667799
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats9910101111
FriarsFriars Friars77991010
BlueBlue Blue1010111111
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals11111122

Conditions — 10/29/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.6 kn
avg  ·  max 16.0 kn
Gusts to 32.1 kn
From NE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1019.7 hPa Rain0.48 in Snow0.28 in

What this breeze does at Boston University — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Boston University in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled fleet-race days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →