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Brennan Russell Memorial

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Captains Captains Captains 24 28 52
2 Captains Blue Captains Blue Captains Blue 40 30 70
3 Colonials 1 Colonials 1 Colonials 1 38 36 74
4 Tribe Tribe Tribe 44 51 95
5 Colonials 2 Colonials 2 Colonials 2 50 54 104
6 Tigers Tigers Tigers 56 53 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT
Captains Captains Captains 1 1 1 1 2 1 5 1 2 3 2 4 24
Colonials 1 Colonials 1 Colonials 1 3 2 4 3 5 2 3 3 4 5 1 3 38
Captains Blue Captains Blue Captains Blue 4 3 2 4 4 5 2 5 1 4 5 1 40
Tribe Tribe Tribe 6 5 6 5 1 6 1 2 6 1 3 2 44
Colonials 2 Colonials 2 Colonials 2 2 4 3 6 3 3 6 6 5 2 4 6 50
Tigers Tigers Tigers 5 6 5 2 6 4 4 4 3 6 6 5 56
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT
Captains Captains Captains 1 6 3 3 1 2 1 1 3 4 1 2 28
Captains Blue Captains Blue Captains Blue 3 1 1 2 2 5 5 4 1 3 2 1 30
Colonials 1 Colonials 1 Colonials 1 2 2 2 1 4 1 2 5 6 2 6 3 36
Tribe Tribe Tribe 4 3 6 5 6 3 3 3 5 6 3 4 51
Tigers Tigers Tigers 6 5 5 4 3 6 6 2 4 1 5 6 53
Colonials 2 Colonials 2 Colonials 2 5 4 4 6 5 4 4 6 2 5 4 5 54
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
CaptainsCaptains Captains333333141414141414
Captains BlueCaptains Blue Captains Blue666666111111111111
Colonials 1Colonials 1 Colonials 1111111121212121212
Colonials 2Colonials 2 Colonials 2555555161616161616
TigersTigers Tigers444444151515151515
TribeTribe Tribe222222131313131313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
CaptainsCaptains Captains131313131313444444
Captains BlueCaptains Blue Captains Blue161616161616111111
Colonials 1Colonials 1 Colonials 1111111111111222222
Colonials 2Colonials 2 Colonials 2151515151515666666
TigersTigers Tigers141414141414555555
TribeTribe Tribe121212121212333333

Conditions — 11/10/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1027.0 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From S (185°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1027.0 hPa

What this breeze does at Christopher Newport — from fleet racing

Breeze: S about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Christopher Newport in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled fleet-race days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →