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Buckeye Invitational 2013

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Big Red 1 Big Red 1 Big Red 1 17 1 18
2 Big Red 2 Big Red 2 Big Red 2 21 3 24
3 Buckeyes Buckeyes Buckeyes 23 4 27
4 Miami University 2 Miami University 2 Miami University 2 27 2 29
5 Hope Hope Hope 26 6 32
6 Husky One Husky One Husky One 22 11 33
7 Ohio 2 Ohio 2 Ohio 2 27 8 35
8 Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 30 7 37
9 Bowling Green 1 Bowling Green 1 Bowling Green 1 33 5 38
10 The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. 34 12 46
11 Miami University 1 Miami University 1 Miami University 1 35 13 48
12 Toledo Toledo Toledo 42 10 52
13 Bowling Green 2 Bowling Green 2 Bowling Green 2 43 9 52
14 Ohio 1 Ohio 1 Ohio 1 45 14 59
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT
Big Red 1 Big Red 1 Big Red 1 2 2 11 2 17
Big Red 2 Big Red 2 Big Red 2 12 6 2 1 21
Husky One Husky One Husky One 3 1 8 10 22
Buckeyes Buckeyes Buckeyes 4 7 7 5 23
Hope Hope Hope 9 3 6 8 26
Ohio 2 Ohio 2 Ohio 2 5 4 5 13 27
Miami University 2 Miami University 2 Miami University 2 7 12 1 7 27
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 13 9 4 4 30
Bowling Green 1 Bowling Green 1 Bowling Green 1 6 8 13 6 33
The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. 1 DNF 9 9 34
Miami University 1 Miami University 1 Miami University 1 11 10 3 11 35
Toledo Toledo Toledo 8 5 14 DNF 42
Bowling Green 2 Bowling Green 2 Bowling Green 2 DNF DNF 10 3 43
Ohio 1 Ohio 1 Ohio 1 10 11 12 12 45
SchoolTeam R1 TOT
Big Red 1 Big Red 1 Big Red 1 1 1
Miami University 2 Miami University 2 Miami University 2 2 2
Big Red 2 Big Red 2 Big Red 2 3 3
Buckeyes Buckeyes Buckeyes 4 4
Bowling Green 1 Bowling Green 1 Bowling Green 1 5 5
Hope Hope Hope 6 6
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 7 7
Ohio 2 Ohio 2 Ohio 2 8 8
Bowling Green 2 Bowling Green 2 Bowling Green 2 9 9
Toledo Toledo Toledo 10 10
Husky One Husky One Husky One 11 11
The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. 12 12
Miami University 1 Miami University 1 Miami University 1 13 13
Ohio 1 Ohio 1 Ohio 1 14 14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bowling Green 1Bowling Green 1 Bowling Green 117171818
Bowling Green 2Bowling Green 2 Bowling Green 218181919
Big Red 1Big Red 1 Big Red 17788
Big Red 2Big Red 2 Big Red 28899
HopeHope Hope242455
Miami University 1Miami University 1 Miami University 1991010
Miami University 2Miami University 2 Miami University 210101717
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines23232424
Husky OneHusky One Husky One22222323
Ohio 1Ohio 1 Ohio 119192020
Ohio 2Ohio 2 Ohio 220202121
BuckeyesBuckeyes Buckeyes6677
The Ohio State Univ.The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ.5566
ToledoToledo Toledo21212222

Division B

Team1B
Bowling Green 1Bowling Green 1 Bowling Green 117
Bowling Green 2Bowling Green 2 Bowling Green 218
Big Red 1Big Red 1 Big Red 17
Big Red 2Big Red 2 Big Red 28
HopeHope Hope24
Miami University 1Miami University 1 Miami University 19
Miami University 2Miami University 2 Miami University 210
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines23
Husky OneHusky One Husky One22
Ohio 1Ohio 1 Ohio 119
Ohio 2Ohio 2 Ohio 220
BuckeyesBuckeyes Buckeyes6
The Ohio State Univ.The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ.5
ToledoToledo Toledo21

Conditions — 09/28/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From ENE (70°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1019.7 hPa

What this breeze does at Ohio State — from fleet racing

Breeze: E about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Ohio State in this breeze: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.20)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 17% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →