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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 11 16
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 12 19
3 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 22 19 41
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 17 26 43
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 29 17 46
6 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 21 25 46
7 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 20 31 51
8 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 31 20 51
9 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 31 31 62
10 University of Tennessee-Chattanooga University of Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs 37 28 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 1 1 5 Ryan Davidson '16
Michaela Reynolds '16
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 2 2 2 7 John Reddaway '15
Elliot Newnham '13
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 3 6 5 17 Cassie Todd '16
Mallory Blackwood '15
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 4 8 4 4 20 Ben Brightwell '13 [1-2]
Robert Marshall '15 [3-4]
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 8 7 3 3 21 Edward Miller '13
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 7 4 5 6 22 John Lindahl '15
Patrick Kopiwoda '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 10 7 7 29 John Macadam '15
Nichole Palen '14
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 6 6 9 10 31 Lauren Mclean '13
Allison Hunt '14
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 10 5 8 8 31 Andrew Corriveau '15 [1-2]
Alexander Rigsby '13 [3-4]
Emily Klug '14 [1-2]
University of Tennessee-Chattanooga University of Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs 9 9 10 9 37 Marc Simons '13
Nicholas Davis '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 4 1 1 11 Sarah Mackey '16
Charlotte Saxe '16
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 1 2 2 12 Marten Kendrick '15
Elizabeth Rahn '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 7 5 3 17 Benton Morton '14
Katherine Kristoffersen '15
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 2 7 9 19 Mark Buchanan '13
Becca Hofmeister '14
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 5 4 5 20 Samuel Duckworth '13
Cali Mcgovern '14
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 8 3 6 8 25 Katie Marren '13
Adam Kaplon '15
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 10 6 3 7 26 Trey Poole '14
Christopher Bell '15
University of Tennessee-Chattanooga University of Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs 4 8 10 6 28 Scott Burnett '13
Sarah Johnston '13
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 3 10 8 10 31 Donald Parker '15
William Montgomery '14
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 9 9 9 4 31 Benjamin Hicks '14
Michelle Postma '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.270+0.27
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4455
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel6677
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3344
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia2233
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5566
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack991010
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers1122
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks7788
University of Tennessee-ChattanoogaUniversity of Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs8899
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt101011

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4455
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel6677
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3344
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia2233
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5566
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack991010
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers1122
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks7788
University of Tennessee-ChattanoogaUniversity of Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs8899
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt101011

Conditions — 09/15/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 4.2 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From NNE (30°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1022.1 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn · N 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →