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Rock Chalk Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 11 14 25
2 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 1 23 19 42
3 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 27 23 50
4 University of Kansas University of Kansas Kansas 41 16 57
5 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 2 23 37 60
6 Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City 31 41 72
7 Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist 40 46 86
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 11 Henry Robinson '15
James Dirkes '12
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 1 2 3 7 2 1 5 3 23 Ian Jones '15
Shayna Borgfeld '17
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 2 4 2 5 1 5 4 2 23 Mohamed Alhanaei '13
Gene Evans '24
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 5 7 2 3 4 2 4 27 Tyler Boerner '14
Derek Taylor '13
Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City 3 6 4 6 3 3 6 31 Svetlana Samokhvalova '14
Josh Downing '13
Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist 7 5 3 7 6 7 5 40 Caleb Pool '14 [1-7]
Emma Hutchinson '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Megan Aselton '14 [3-4]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Kansas 6 4 6 5 7 6 7 41 Joe Santos '13
Alex Assyia '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes 1 1 4 2 3 1 2 14 Christian Caldwell '13
Chase Bowden '15
University of Kansas University of Kansas Kansas 3 4 2 1 1 2 3 16 Melissa Brown '14
Allison Burke '13
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 1 2 5 3 3 2 3 1 19 Connor Murphy '14 [1-7]
Jameson Shaffer '15 [1-4]
Kathryn Rykard '15 [5-7]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma 4 2 1 4 4 4 4 23 Sarah Summers '13
Darby Gilmore '14
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 2 5 3 6 5 7 6 5 37 Matt Bardov '14
Tayln Edilson '13
Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City 6 6 5 6 5 7 6 41 Patrick Warrington '15
Mary Melton '15
Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist 7 7 7 7 6 5 7 46 Michael Klein '14 [1-7]
Katherine Thompson '16 [1-4, 7]
Megan Aselton '14 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma5577224
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes2244661
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Kansas1133557
Oklahoma City UniversityOklahoma City University Oklahoma City3355772
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys 16611335
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys 27722446
Southern Methodist UniversitySouthern Methodist University Southern Methodist4466113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Central Oklahoma6611335
University of Colorado at BoulderUniversity of Colorado at Boulder Buffaloes3355772
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Kansas2244661
Oklahoma City UniversityOklahoma City University Oklahoma City4466113
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys 17722446
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys 21133557
Southern Methodist UniversitySouthern Methodist University Southern Methodist5577224
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oklahoma City University Oklahoma City University Svetlana Samokhvalova '14 Josh Downing '13
Oklahoma City Patrick Warrington '15 Mary Melton '15
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Ian Jones '15 Shayna Borgfeld '17
Cowboys 1 Connor Murphy '14 [1-7] Jameson Shaffer '15 [1-4]
Kathryn Rykard '15 [5-7]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Mohamed Alhanaei '13 Gene Evans '24
Cowboys 2 Matt Bardov '14 Tayln Edilson '13
Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Caleb Pool '14 [1-7] Emma Hutchinson '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Megan Aselton '14 [3-4]
Southern Methodist Michael Klein '14 [1-7] Katherine Thompson '16 [1-4, 7]
Megan Aselton '14 [5-6]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Tyler Boerner '14 Derek Taylor '13
Central Oklahoma Sarah Summers '13 Darby Gilmore '14
University of Colorado at Boulder University of Colorado at Boulder Henry Robinson '15 James Dirkes '12
Buffaloes Christian Caldwell '13 Chase Bowden '15
University of Kansas University of Kansas Joe Santos '13 Alex Assyia '16
Kansas Melissa Brown '14 Allison Burke '13

Conditions — 10/06/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1027.8 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From NNW (345°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine4.1 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1027.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kansas: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.21 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.32 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kansas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Kansas: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →