SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 12 14 26
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 24 11 35
3 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 26 17 43
4 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 19 43 62
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 35 29 64
6 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 34 36 70
7 Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 47 46 93
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 12 Matthew Hecht '16
Carolina Quirantes '15
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 19 Natalie Ferris '16
Dayren Stacey '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 2 2 4 4 6 3 24 Bradford Cederberg '15
Heidi Carlson '16
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 6 5 4 3 3 4 1 26 Matthew Sussmane '15 [1-7]
Eva Muszynski '16 [1-4]
Abigail Beauchamp '14 [5-7]
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 4 4 6 6 5 5 4 34 Michael Long '14
Patrick Tonissen '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 7 5 5 6 3 7 35 Thomas Hamby '15
Evan Russell '14
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 7 6 7 DNS 7 7 5 47
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 3 1 1 1 2 11 Benjamin Chafee '16
Brianna Green '16
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 2 1 2 3 2 3 14 Giancarlo Falconi '16 [1-7]
Tucker Isgrig '13 [1-4]
William Evans '16 [5-7]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 1 17 Kristi Townsend '16 [1-4]
Lucas Hickling '15 [5-7]
Bryce Scarfone '15 [1-4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 29 Megan Hostetter '19
Candice Stewart '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 5 5 6 5 6 4 5 36 Gabriel Monterrosa Metairon '15
Richard Zay '14
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 6 6 7 6 5 7 6 43 Patrick Clark '16
Brittan Steffel '16
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 7 7 5 7 7 6 7 46
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1133557
Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic Florida Atlantic3355771
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech4422886
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 15577113
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 26644228
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College7711335
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls8866442

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons2244668
Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic Florida Atlantic4466882
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech3311775
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 16688224
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 25533117
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College8822446
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls7755331

Conditions — 10/06/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From ENE (63°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine8.9 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1013.0 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →