Virginia Invitational

HostVirginia
Date10/13/2012
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
BoatFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Wahoos	Wahoos	20	44	64
2	Seawolves	Seawolves	43	31	74
3	Terps	Terps	79	40	119
4	Tribe	Tribe	56 MRP	67 MRP	123 MRP
5	Tigers	Tigers	56	82	138
6	Seagulls	Seagulls	79	65	144
7	Delaware	Delaware	82	86	168

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT
Wahoos	Wahoos	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	1	2	20
Seawolves	Seawolves	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	2	4	2	1	1	4	4	43
Tribe	Tribe	1	1	4	2	2	2	2	4	2	4	3	3	3	3	56 MRP
Tigers	Tigers	4	6	5	3	6	6	6	3	3	3	4	4	2	1	56
Terps	Terps	5	4	7	6	5	7	7	6	5	5	5	5	6	6	79
Seagulls	Seagulls	7	7	6	5	3	3	4	7	6	7	6	6	7	5	79
Delaware	Delaware	6	5	2	7	7	5	3	5	7	6	DNS	DNS	5	DNS	82

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT
Seawolves	Seawolves	3	1	1	4	2	3	2	1	2	1	1	2	3	5	31
Terps	Terps	2	2	2	1	1	4	3	2	5	4	5	4	2	3	40
Wahoos	Wahoos	1	5	4	5	6	1	4	4	1	6	3	1	1	2	44
Seagulls	Seagulls	6	4	7	6	3	2	7	5	3	3	2	5	4	DSQ	65
Tribe	Tribe	4	3	3	3	4	5	1	3	6	2	4	3	5	1	67 MRP
Tigers	Tigers	7	7	6	7	7	6	5	6	4	5	6	6	6	4	82
Delaware	Delaware	5	6	5	2	5	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	DNF	86

Boat Speed Analyzer

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A
Delaware Delaware	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Terps Terps	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	1	1
Tigers Tigers	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	1	1	2	2
Seagulls Seagulls	5	5	6	6	7	7	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Seawolves Seawolves	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	1	1	2	2	3	3
Wahoos Wahoos	6	6	7	7	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5
Tribe Tribe	7	7	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B	13B	14B
Delaware Delaware	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Terps Terps	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	1	1
Tigers Tigers	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	1	1	2	2
Seagulls Seagulls	5	5	6	6	7	7	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Seawolves Seawolves	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	1	1	2	2	3	3
Wahoos Wahoos	6	6	7	7	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5
Tribe Tribe	7	7	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6

Conditions — 10/13/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 54% · Pressure 1030.7 hPa

Temperature

54°F

↑ 61°F ↓ 41°F

Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.0 kn

avg · max 6.0 kn

Gusts to 16.1 kn

From SSE (154°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1030.7 hPa

What this breeze does at Virginia — from fleet racing

Breeze: SE about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In fleet races at Virginia in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)

Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Virginia by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Virginia, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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