Baldwin Wood

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 12 12 24
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 20 27 47
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 17 31 48
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 35 18 53
5 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 33 24 57
6 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 18 40 58
7 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 33 30 63
8 Wolfpack Wolfpack Wolfpack 56 34 90
9 University of South Alabama University of South Alabama South Alabama 60 60 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 3 1 2 1 1 4 12 Alexandra Payne '15
Aliya Boyer '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 4 2 1 4 5 1 17 Michael Sager '15
Amanda Reyes '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 5 4 2 2 3 18 Jacob Hafemeister '16
Aly Gazzola '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 1 3 6 5 3 2 20 Travis Conger '14
Tracy Hawk '16
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 5 4 5 7 7 5 33 Travis James '13
Ataly Asher '15
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 7 7 3 6 4 6 33 Jessica Oswalt '16 [1-6]
Corey Gary '17 [1-2]
Sierra Orlowski '17 [3-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 6 6 7 3 6 7 35 Ryan Murphy '15
Skylar Smith '17
Wolfpack Wolfpack Wolfpack 8 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 56
University of South Alabama University of South Alabama South Alabama DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 60 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 3 4 2 1 1 1 12 Michael Swanson '16
Miia Newman '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 2 6 3 3 2 2 18 Kayla Sonnier '15
Dillon Coale '17
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 1 7 4 2 6 4 24 Evan Kollath '15
Amanda Earl '16
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 5 8 1 4 4 5 27 Michael Hearn '13
Sarah Turner '15
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 4 2 5 6 7 6 30 Erin Hawk '16
No Show
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 6 3 6 5 8 3 31 Morgan Smith '17
Trey Hartman '15
Wolfpack Wolfpack Wolfpack 7 1 8 8 3 7 34
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 8 5 7 7 5 8 40 Joshua Macmillan '17
India Hope '16
University of South Alabama University of South Alabama South Alabama DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 60 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
WolfpackWolfpack Wolfpack114466
University of South AlabamaUniversity of South Alabama South Alabama991144
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 110103355
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2335577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2557799
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 366881010
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 1779911
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 288101033

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
WolfpackWolfpack Wolfpack335577
University of South AlabamaUniversity of South Alabama South Alabama10103355
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1114466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1557799
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 266881010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3779911
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 188101033
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 2991144

Conditions — 11/16/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From SE (125°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.39 ± 0.37)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →