Luce Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 26 16 42
2 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 14 31 45
3 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 26 29 55
4 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 42 16 58
5 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 31 30 61
6 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 29 47 76
7 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 53 56 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 3 14 Conor Cashel '14
Catherine Duggan '15
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 3 5 1 5 BKD 5 2 26 Austin Powers '17 [1-8]
Katie Padgett '17 [1-4]
Grace Bluefeld '15 [5-6]
Andrew Hall '17 [7-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 4 7 3 4 1 2 4 1 26 Cody Stansky '16 [1-8]
Kurt Gavel '16 [1-4]
Alexander Donlan '16 [5-8]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 5 4 1 5 4 4 2 4 29 Matthew Sherar '17
Sean Magee-Saxton '16
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 3 2 4 3 7 3 3 6 31 Adam Siegel '15 [1-8]
Diana Kong-Wasielewski '14 [1-4]
Kaitlynn Menoche '15 [5-8]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 6 5 7 6 2 5 6 5 42 Scott Barnhill '14 [1-8]
William Whelan '17 [1-3, 5-8]
Clare Heintzelman '16 [4]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 7 6 6 7 6 7 7 7 53 Andrew Werner '14
Margaret O'Rourke '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 6 2 1 1 1 2 1 16 James Codega '14 [1-3]
Alex Dzinbal '17 [4-8]
Ian Lawson '17 [1-3]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 3 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 16 David Alldian '17
Julianna Lee '17
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 4 1 3 5 4 5 3 4 29 Amanda Attardi '17 [1-6]
Annie Eckmann '14 [7-8]
Lauren Crowder '17 [1-4]
Andrew Hall '17 [5-6]
Julia Davis '16 [7-8]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 30 Scott Guinn '15 [1-8]
Kaitlynn Menoche '15 [1-4]
Ella Cahill '15 [5-8]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 1 2 5 4 5 3 6 5 31 Mary Margaret Meehan '15
Kelsey Burns '16
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 6 5 6 7 6 6 5 6 47 Anders Brown '14
Nicholas Wright '16
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 7 7 7 6 7 7 BKD DNS 56 Henry Pease '16
Gabriela Leichnitz '16

Conditions — 11/02/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1005.7 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1005.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 4 kn · N 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.32 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →