Navigate

SAISA North Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 9 21 30
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 17 16 33
3 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 27 18 45
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck 13 36 49
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 34 15 49
6 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 31 30 61
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 38 34 72
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 1 2 1 1 2 2 9 Christopher Moe '17
Austin Winkler '16
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck 2 3 4 2 1 1 13 John Reddaway '15
Joshua Kim '17
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 1 2 3 3 3 17 Marten Kendrick '15
Evan Smith '16
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 4 5 3 5 4 6 27 Lillian Brown '17
Stephen Petty Valenzuela '17
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 6 4 6 4 7 4 31 Brent Deangelis '16
Rachael Payton '15
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 6 5 OCS 5 7 34 Dustin Simons '14 [1-4]
Paul Guntner '16 [5-6]
Christopher Johnson '18 [1-4]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 7 7 7 6 6 5 38 Benjamin Hicks '14 [1-6]
Michael Stolorena '15 [1-2]
Jennifer Post '16 [3-4]
Emily Olive '17 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 4 3 3 2 2 15 Katherine Kristoffersen '15
Cole Barclay '16
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 3 2 4 1 4 16 Abhay Baliga '14
Gins Holde '15
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 3 1 OCS 2 3 1 18 Adam Kaplon '15
William Reynolds '15
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 5 2 1 1 4 OCS 21 Scott Bidwell '16 [1-6]
Scott Adams '17 [1-4]
Parker Singletary '15 [5-6]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 4 5 6 7 5 3 30 Reeves Hollar '13
Rachael Wilks '16
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 7 6 4 6 6 5 34 Henry Taylor '17 [1-6]
Benjamin Burghaus '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Hannah Dorsey '15 [3-4]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck 6 7 5 5 7 6 36 Garrett Osborne '16
Will Brazzil '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113355
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel224466
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia446611
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck661133
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets557722
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack335577
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt772244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers224466
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel335577
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia557722
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Ramblin' Wreck772244
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets661133
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack446611
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt113355

Conditions — 10/19/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From WSW (254°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine3.7 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1014.7 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.22 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →