Princeton Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 17 22 39
2 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 22 22 44
3 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 27 21 48
4 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 42 35 77
5 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 42 50 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 1 2 2 2 3 1 2 1 1 17 Johanna Monro '16
Elizabeth Steinborn '16
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 3 2 1 1 3 2 3 1 3 3 22 Kaitlynn Menoche '15
Ella Cahill '15
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 5 4 3 3 1 1 2 4 2 2 27 Adrija Navarro '15 [1-8]
Sarah Gross '15 [9-10]
Amara Plaza-Jennings '15 [1-8]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 4 5 42 Emily Mccarthy '15
Sarah Scheidt '17
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 4 3 5 5 4 5 4 3 5 4 42 Nicole Czegledy '17
Denby Mcdonnell '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 3 1 1 2 1 3 4 3 1 21 Lucy Cobbs '14 [1-8]
Sydney Mandelbaum '17 [9-10]
Elizabeth Smith '14 [1-8]
Briana Christophers '17 [9-10]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 2 2 2 3 4 1 1 2 4 22 Samantha Foulston '17
Elizabeth Foulston '17
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 3 1 3 3 1 2 4 2 1 2 22 Cynthia Ciccotelli '16
Cassidy Fazio '15
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 3 4 3 35 Victoria Restivo '17
Dayna Hellmann '17
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 50 Alexandra Stapienski '16
Maggie Morrow '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams1122334455
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings3344551122
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers2233445511
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels4455112233
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe5511223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams1122334455
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings3344551122
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers2233445511
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels4455112233
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe5511223344

Conditions — 09/28/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1025.7 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From ENE (65°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1025.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Princeton: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Princeton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Princeton, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →