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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 15
2 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 37
3 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 62
4 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 66
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 1 1 1 1 1 5 Sarah Warren '18
Natalie Harrison '18
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 2 2 2 2 2 10 Erin Condon '17
Erica Oosterhoff '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls A 3 3 4 3 3 16 Emily Hann '17
Hayley Wennberg '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls B 4 4 3 5 5 21 Jessica Abriss '18
Megan Eubank '17
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange A 7 6 5 4 4 26 Claire Michaud '18
Jacqueline Page '18
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers A 5 5 6 6 6 28 Cynthia Stetson '18
Samantha Hung-Krause '19
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers B 6 7 7 7 7 34 Katherine Curran '17
Katie Wilson '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange B 8 8 8 8 8 40 Jessica Behr '18
Margot Somers '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls44444
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen11111
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers22222
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange33333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls88888
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55555
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers66666
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange77777

Conditions — 11/09/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1013.7 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From SW (235°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1013.7 hPa

What this breeze does at Hobart & William Sm — from fleet racing

Breeze: SW about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Hobart & William Sm in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William Sm by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (30 labelled fleet-race days at Hobart & William Sm).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →