Sugar Bowl Intercollegiate

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Nulls Nulls Nulls 13 22 35
2 Green Wave Green Wave Green Wave 25 12 37
3 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 33 37 70
4 Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys 31 39 70
5 The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. 48 40 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Nulls Nulls Nulls 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 13
Green Wave Green Wave Green Wave 2 2 4 3 4 1 3 2 1 3 25
Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys 5 4 2 2 2 3 4 3 4 2 31
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 3 3 3 5 3 4 1 4 3 4 33 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-4]
Erin Hawk '16 [5-10]
Hunter Meis '17 [1-2]
Eric Alderman '17 [3-4]
Stephanie Meals '15 [5-8]
Sarah Turner '15 [9-10]
The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Green Wave Green Wave Green Wave 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 12
Nulls Nulls Nulls 1 2 2 2 2 4 2 2 1 4 22
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 4 4 4 5 3 2 3 5 4 3 37 Morgan Frakes '17 [1-4]
Walter Pospick '17 [5-10]
Alyssa Schultz '16 [1-2]
Catherine Bristow '17 [3-4]
Matt Hergert '16 [5-6]
Matthew Kirchner '17 [7-10]
Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys 5 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 5 5 39
The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ. 3 5 5 4 5 5 5 3 3 2 40
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
NullsNulls Nulls3355774466
The Ohio State Univ.The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ.4466335577
CowboysCowboys Cowboys5577446633
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies6633557744
Green WaveGreen Wave Green Wave7744663355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
NullsNulls Nulls4466335577
The Ohio State Univ.The Ohio State Univ. The Ohio State Univ.5577446633
CowboysCowboys Cowboys6633557744
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies7744663355
Green WaveGreen Wave Green Wave3355774466
School / Team SkipperCrew
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-4]
Erin Hawk '16 [5-10]
Hunter Meis '17 [1-2]
Eric Alderman '17 [3-4]
Stephanie Meals '15 [5-8]
Sarah Turner '15 [9-10]
Aggies Morgan Frakes '17 [1-4]
Walter Pospick '17 [5-10]
Alyssa Schultz '16 [1-2]
Catherine Bristow '17 [3-4]
Matt Hergert '16 [5-6]
Matthew Kirchner '17 [7-10]

Conditions — 12/30/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From NNE (19°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine4.2 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1026.3 hPa

What this breeze does at Tulane — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Tulane in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled fleet-race days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →