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Buckeye Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 66 27 93
2 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 62 55 MRP 117 MRP
3 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 56 74 130
4 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 112 43 155
5 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 79 79 158
6 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 56 108 164
7 Denison University Denison University Big Red 84 91 175
8 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 66 118 184
9 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 71 MRP 115 MRP 186 MRP
10 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 126 63 189
11 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 104 MRP 102 206 MRP
12 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 2 115 MRP 121 MRP 236 MRP
13 Hoosiers Hoosiers Hoosiers 200 MRP 200 MRP 400 MRP
14 Tigers Tigers Tigers 200 MRP 200 MRP 400 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 3 12 6 5 1 2 9 9 2 1 3 3 56 Elliot Lee '18
Nicholas Smart '18
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 7 4 7 4 3 9 1 1 11 4 4 1 56 Rachel Rantanen '19
Meredith Mckeown '17
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 5 5 10 6 10 4 2 2 8 2 1 7 62 Luke Gossman '16
Delaney Imbler '17
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 4 2 3 9 6 5 7 3 4 3 10 10 66 Anatoliy Kryvenko '15
No Show
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 6 7 2 2 4 8 3 6 5 6 5 12 66 Jacob Henley '17
Nick Lane '16
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 2 1 1 1 DNF 1 8 8 1 BKD 7 2 71 MRP Stuart Fisher '16
Kolbi Renkert '19
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 8 3 4 8 5 12 5 11 3 8 8 4 79 Abby Freeman '16
Bryce Cartwright '18
Denison University Denison University Big Red 12 10 5 3 8 7 4 5 9 9 6 6 84 Margot Sherman Jollis '18
Hanora Lucey '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 1 9 9 7 9 6 11 4 10 11 2 5 104 MRP William Lewis '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Brittany Mosgo '17 [9-10]
Logan Fleisher '18 [1-8]
Stacey Nash '17 [9-12]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 11 6 11 12 7 11 10 7 7 10 9 11 112 Libby Reeg '17 [1-12]
Luke Petro '19 [1-2, 7-10]
Justin Edick '19 [3-4]
Matthew Delaney '18 [5-6, 11-12]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 2 9 8 8 10 2 3 12 10 6 7 12 8 115 MRP Josh Mallett '19 [1-12]
Ryan Konopka '19 [1-6]
Matthew Gehring '19 [7-12]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 10 11 DNF 11 11 10 6 12 DNS 5 11 9 126 Timothy Dickey '18
Peter Atkins '19
Hoosiers Hoosiers Hoosiers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 MRP
Tigers Tigers Tigers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 5 1 3 4 6 27 David Aspery '16
Luke Lecoche '18
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 5 2 6 5 5 1 3 1 2 9 1 3 43 Evan Rodgers '16 [1-12]
Lindsey Capel '18 [1-2, 9-12]
Elizabeth Morehead '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Mara Timmeney '18 [5-6]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 3 3 2 2 4 3 2 4 3 4 3 2 55 MRP Drew Blackburn '17
Evon Deprey '17
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 10 6 3 9 3 6 6 2 7 1 6 4 63 Max Vinocur '18
Nicholas Corsi '19
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 12 7 7 8 2 5 9 6 10 2 5 1 74 No Show
Hannah Wasserbaech '16
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 4 5 9 7 7 7 10 9 6 5 2 8 79 Jonathan Chantz '18
Madison Borowy '16
Denison University Denison University Big Red 2 10 8 11 11 9 4 7 5 7 8 9 91 William Griswold '19
Sam Ferrone '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 8 4 5 4 9 11 8 11 12 11 9 10 102 Monica Julian '17
No Show
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 7 11 10 12 12 12 12 10 4 6 7 5 108 Ava Karaitis '16
Chelsea Bohn '16
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 6 8 12 10 6 8 5 3 8 8 10 11 115 MRP No Show [1-12]
Brittany Nordhaus '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
James Oaks '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 11 12 11 3 10 4 11 12 9 12 11 12 118 No Show
Hannah Ramsby '17
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 2 9 9 4 6 8 10 7 8 11 10 12 7 121 MRP Andrew Atkins '19 [1-12]
Tristian Hoffman '19 [1-6]
Brian Titus '18 [7-12]
Hoosiers Hoosiers Hoosiers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 MRP
Tigers Tigers Tigers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red44667788991010
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers6677889910101717
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen778899101017171818
HoosiersHoosiers Hoosiers88991010171718181919
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks9910101717181819192020
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 1101017171818191920202121
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 2171718181919202021212222
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One181819192020212122222323
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats 121212222232324244466
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats 2222223232424446677
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 1191920202121222223232424
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 22020212122222323242444
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets2323242444667788
TigersTigers Tigers24244466778899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red44667788991010
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers6677889910101717
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen778899101017171818
HoosiersHoosiers Hoosiers88991010171718181919
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks9910101717181819192020
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 1101017171818191920202121
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 2171718181919202021212222
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One181819192020212122222323
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats 121212222232324244466
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats 2222223232424446677
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 1191920202121222223232424
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 22020212122222323242444
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets2323242444667788
TigersTigers Tigers24244466778899
School / Team SkipperCrew
Denison University Denison University Margot Sherman Jollis '18 Hanora Lucey '19
Big Red William Griswold '19 Sam Ferrone '19
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Elliot Lee '18 Nicholas Smart '18
Lakers No Show Hannah Wasserbaech '16
Hope College Hope College Libby Reeg '17 [1-12] Luke Petro '19 [1-2, 7-10]
Justin Edick '19 [3-4]
Matthew Delaney '18 [5-6, 11-12]
Flying Dutchmen Evan Rodgers '16 [1-12] Lindsey Capel '18 [1-2, 9-12]
Elizabeth Morehead '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Mara Timmeney '18 [5-6]
Miami University Miami University Stuart Fisher '16 Kolbi Renkert '19
Red Hawks No Show [1-12] Brittany Nordhaus '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
James Oaks '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Rachel Rantanen '19 Meredith Mckeown '17
Spartans 1 Ava Karaitis '16 Chelsea Bohn '16
Michigan State University Michigan State University Timothy Dickey '18 Peter Atkins '19
Spartans 2 Max Vinocur '18 Nicholas Corsi '19
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Jacob Henley '17 Nick Lane '16
Husky One No Show Hannah Ramsby '17
Ohio State University Ohio State University Anatoliy Kryvenko '15 No Show
Buckeyes 1 David Aspery '16 Luke Lecoche '18
Ohio State University Ohio State University William Lewis '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Brittany Mosgo '17 [9-10]		 Logan Fleisher '18 [1-8]
Stacey Nash '17 [9-12]
Buckeyes 2 Monica Julian '17 No Show
Ohio University Ohio University Abby Freeman '16 Bryce Cartwright '18
Bobcats 1 Jonathan Chantz '18 Madison Borowy '16
Ohio University Ohio University Josh Mallett '19 [1-12] Ryan Konopka '19 [1-6]
Matthew Gehring '19 [7-12]
Bobcats 2 Andrew Atkins '19 [1-12] Tristian Hoffman '19 [1-6]
Brian Titus '18 [7-12]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Luke Gossman '16 Delaney Imbler '17
Rockets Drew Blackburn '17 Evon Deprey '17

Conditions — 09/19/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1011.1 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 14.2 kn
Gusts to 27.0 kn
From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine7.7 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1011.1 hPa Rain0.17 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · N 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ohio State: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.32 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →