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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 38 45 83
2 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 44 39 83
3 Denison University Denison University Big Red 51 61 112
4 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 66 46 112
5 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 51 MRP 64 MRP 115 MRP
6 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 60 MRP 56 MRP 116 MRP
7 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 61 MRP 86 MRP 147 MRP
8 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 86 61 147
9 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 84 MRP 76 MRP 160 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 5 1 2 8 8 6 5 1 1 38 Alexandria Zimmerman '19 [1-10]
Micalah Blohm '19 [1-2, 9-10]
Robin Daniels '19 [3-8]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 6 2 4 4 7 5 1 3 7 5 44 Matt Bracey '17
Alexandra Brown '17
Denison University Denison University Big Red 2 3 DNF 3 6 4 7 9 3 4 51 Margot Sherman Jollis '18
Hanora Lucey '19
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 4 1 6 1 2 1 4 2 4 6 51 MRP Abby Freeman '16
Andrew Kerr '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 7 8 3 8 3 3 2 1 2 3 60 MRP David Aspery '16 [1-10]
Anatoliy Kryvenko '15 [1-6]
Luke Lecoche '18 [7-10]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 3 6 5 6 1 2 3 8 5 2 61 MRP David Gates '16 [1-10]
Hazel Foster '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Hunter Bronkema '18 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 7 2 5 4 7 9 7 DSQ DSQ 66 Benjamin Jepsen '17 [1-10]
Tansy Massey-Green '19 [1-8]
Pierre De Smet '16 [9-10]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 8 4 7 9 5 6 8 4 6 7 84 MRP Drew Blackburn '17
Evon Deprey '17
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes DSQ DSQ 8 7 DSQ DSQ 5 6 DSQ DSQ 86 Kyle Williams '15 [1-10]
Sarah Caporelli '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kyle Brooks '19 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 2 2 4 4 3 7 7 6 2 39 Austin Lee '17 [1-10]
Hanna Corneliussen '16 [1-4]
Blake Utz '16 [5-10]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 8 6 5 1 7 2 2 5 2 7 45 Peter Atkins '19 [1-6]
Chelsea Bohn '16 [7-10]
Anna Blohm '19 [1-2]
Lindsay Jessmore '19 [3-4]
Timothy Dickey '18 [5-6]
Ava Karaitis '16 [7-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 DSQ DSQ 1 1 DSQ DSQ 1 1 46 Grant Glover '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
William Buckfire '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Charles Rogers '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Pierre De Smet '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 5 4 2 2 4 1 6 3 6 56 MRP Andrew Lenzo '16
No Show
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 4 9 8 6 6 5 6 4 9 4 61 Lucas Kieffer '19 [1-10]
Geoffrey Montour '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Leon Sun '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Denison University Denison University Big Red 6 3 3 7 9 7 8 1 8 9 61 Sam Ferrone '19 [1-6]
William Griswold '19 [7-10]
Rachel Budzilek '18 [1-6]
Emma Kopp '18 [7-10]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 5 7 6 5 3 6 3 2 4 3 64 MRP Andrew Atkins '19
No Show
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 7 4 1 3 5 8 5 8 7 8 76 MRP No Show
Jacob Rinehart '18
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 9 8 7 8 8 9 4 3 5 5 86 MRP Logan Bedford '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Jessica Gula '17 [3-4, 7-10]
Elizabeth Ridge '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Hannah Milkie '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red1133557799
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes6688113355
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines7799224466
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans2244668811
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats3355779922
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats5577992244
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes4466881133
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets8811335577
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos9922446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red2244668811
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes7799224466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines8811335577
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans3355779922
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats4466881133
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats6688113355
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes5577992244
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets9922446688
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Denison University Denison University Margot Sherman Jollis '18 Hanora Lucey '19
Big Red Sam Ferrone '19 [1-6]
William Griswold '19 [7-10]		 Rachel Budzilek '18 [1-6]
Emma Kopp '18 [7-10]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Alexandria Zimmerman '19 [1-10] Micalah Blohm '19 [1-2, 9-10]
Robin Daniels '19 [3-8]
Spartans Peter Atkins '19 [1-6]
Chelsea Bohn '16 [7-10]		 Anna Blohm '19 [1-2]
Lindsay Jessmore '19 [3-4]
Timothy Dickey '18 [5-6]
Ava Karaitis '16 [7-10]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University David Gates '16 [1-10] Hazel Foster '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Hunter Bronkema '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Wildcats Logan Bedford '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Jessica Gula '17 [3-4, 7-10]		 Elizabeth Ridge '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Hannah Milkie '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Ohio State University Ohio State University David Aspery '16 [1-10] Anatoliy Kryvenko '15 [1-6]
Luke Lecoche '18 [7-10]
Buckeyes Andrew Lenzo '16 No Show
Ohio University Ohio University Abby Freeman '16 Andrew Kerr '19
Bobcats Andrew Atkins '19 No Show
University of Iowa University of Iowa Kyle Williams '15 [1-10] Sarah Caporelli '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kyle Brooks '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Hawkeyes Lucas Kieffer '19 [1-10] Geoffrey Montour '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Leon Sun '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Benjamin Jepsen '17 [1-10] Tansy Massey-Green '19 [1-8]
Pierre De Smet '16 [9-10]
Wolverines Grant Glover '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
William Buckfire '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Charles Rogers '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Pierre De Smet '16 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Drew Blackburn '17 Evon Deprey '17
Rockets No Show Jacob Rinehart '18
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Matt Bracey '17 Alexandra Brown '17
Broncos Austin Lee '17 [1-10] Hanna Corneliussen '16 [1-4]
Blake Utz '16 [5-10]

Conditions — 10/24/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1009.1 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.2 kn
avg  ·  max 16.3 kn
Gusts to 37.9 kn
From SSW (209°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine2.4 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1009.1 hPa Rain0.22 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn · NW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Michigan State: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.35 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Michigan State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Michigan State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →