Cazenovia Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 14 25 39
2 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 24 19 43
3 Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 27 19 46
4 Skidmore Skidmore Skidmore 30 34 64
5 Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton 43 29 72
6 Tigers Tigers Tigers 45 47 92
7 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 55 55 110
8 Knights Knights Knights 57 60 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 3 1 1 2 1 2 2 14 Robert Suriani '16
Alyson Hirschhorn '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange DSQ 1 2 5 1 4 1 1 24 Henry Sanders '18 [1-4]
Nicholas Pardini '16 [5-6]
Zachary Warner '19 [7-8]
Alberto Rivera '16 [1-4]
Marisa Freedman '17 [5-8]
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 1 5 5 2 5 2 3 4 27 Lindsay Burroughs '17
Jacqueline Hebner '18
Skidmore Skidmore Skidmore 3 2 3 7 3 5 4 3 30
Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton 4 4 4 6 6 7 5 7 43
Tigers Tigers Tigers DNF 8 6 4 4 3 6 5 45
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls DNF 6 DNF 3 7 8 7 6 55 Sean Hunt '16
Matthew Infarinato '19
Knights Knights Knights 5 7 7 8 8 6 8 8 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 1 1 2 1 5 6 1 19 Barrie Joanna '19 [1-6]
Joseph Plisic '19 [7-8]
Maeve Wurtz '19 [1-6]
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 6 2 3 1 2 1 1 3 19 Emily Bicks '16
Anna Conway '17
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 3 2 3 5 4 3 4 25 Max Joh-Carnella '16
Grace Harrison '18
Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton 3 4 5 5 4 2 4 2 29
Skidmore Skidmore Skidmore 5 5 4 7 3 3 2 5 34
Tigers Tigers Tigers 4 6 6 4 6 8 7 6 47
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 7 7 7 6 7 6 8 7 55 No Show
Dante Iozzo '16
Knights Knights Knights 8 8 8 8 8 7 5 8 60
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls88112233
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders11223344
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22334455
KnightsKnights Knights33445566
HamiltonHamilton Hamilton44556677
TigersTigers Tigers55667788
SkidmoreSkidmore Skidmore66778811
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange77881122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls88112233
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders11223344
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22334455
KnightsKnights Knights33445566
HamiltonHamilton Hamilton44556677
TigersTigers Tigers55667788
SkidmoreSkidmore Skidmore66778811
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange77881122

Conditions — 10/03/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1029.5 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 23.9 kn
From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.2 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1029.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

What this breeze does at Colgate — from fleet racing

Breeze: E about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Colgate in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Colgate by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Colgate: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →