McCurdy Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 17 16 33
2 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 30 27 57
3 Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 44 47 91
4 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 52 39 91
5 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 52 41 93
6 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 1 37 61 98
7 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 2 84 77 161
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 1 4 1 1 17 Matthew Roleke '19 [1-11]
Peter Teague '18 [1-6]
Meredith Foor '18 [7-11]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 4 2 3 1 5 4 3 1 2 3 30 Frederick Piasecki '20
Tracy Venella '16
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 1 3 3 5 2 2 2 6 5 3 4 2 37 No Show
Xavier Vecchio '19
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 4 5 4 4 6 4 2 6 2 3 4 44
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 5 7 6 5 3 3 3 4 6 5 5 52 John Waller '16 [1-4]
Evan Shone '17 [5-6]
Sean Crandall '19 [7-11]
Evan Lenza '18 [1-4]
Alexis Holzmann '17 [5-6]
No Show [7-11]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 6 2 3 6 5 6 5 2 5 6 6 52 Maggie Morrow '17
Angelina Graham '19
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 2 7 6 DNS 7 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 84 Conor Smith '17
Jack Bui '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 2 1 2 16 Andrew O'Brien '19
Maxwell Cool '19
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 3 2 2 4 2 3 2 1 3 4 1 27 Haley Clemson '20
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 4 3 3 5 5 4 2 6 2 3 39 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
John Kirk '17
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 3 4 1 3 4 3 5 4 5 5 41 Ian Berke '16 [1-4, 9-11]
Martha Diezemann '18 [5-8]
Stephen Schindel '19 [1-4, 7-8]
No Show [5-6]
David Silverberg '19 [9-11]
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 5 5 6 6 6 2 5 4 1 3 4 47
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 1 6 6 5 5 4 6 6 6 5 6 6 61 Charles Christianson '17
No Show
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 77 Jennifer Suter '19
Meredith Shea '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights 144556677112
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights 255667711223
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens66771122334
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11223344556
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers77112233445
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings22334455667
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks33445566771

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights 144556677112
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights 255667711223
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens66771122334
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11223344556
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers77112233445
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings22334455667
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks33445566771

Conditions — 10/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1020.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From NE (40°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1020.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · SW 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.31
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.53 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →