McCurdy Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 19 26
2 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 19 9 28
3 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 1 31 14 45
4 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 19 30 49
5 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 20 29 49
6 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 34 25 59
7 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 2 38 42 80
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 1 2 1 1 1 1 7 Adam Devita '18
Antonia Leggett '19
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 3 2 3 5 4 19 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Megan Parker '19
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 1 3 2 4 5 19 Haley Clemson '20 [1-6]
Elizabeth Calio '20 [1-4]
Abigail Proko '20 [5-6]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 4 4 4 2 3 20 Daniel Sullivan '19
Mikecia Clarke '19
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 1 5 5 6 7 6 2 31 Danny Kane '20
Genevieve Lee '20
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 7 7 5 5 3 7 34 Hannah Babbitz '19
Walker Schwartz '20
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 2 6 6 7 6 7 6 38 Dylan Graham '19
Bethany Crowley '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 1 1 1 3 1 9 Madeline Delvescovo '20
Alison Reed '21
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 1 1 4 3 2 1 3 14 Charles Debski '19
Conor Macneill '19
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 5 2 2 3 5 2 19 Pierre Casenave-Pere '20
Eleanor Pressman '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 3 5 4 4 5 25 Cathleen Murphy '19 [1-4]
Martha Diezemann '18 [5-6]
Stephen Schindel '19 [1-4]
Ryan Wilityer '18 [5-6]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 5 6 6 2 4 29 Victoria Tang '19
Christian Pavlakos '18
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 3 6 4 5 6 6 30 Sean Boland '18
Kristen Donohue '18
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 42 John Horn '19
Erin O'Connor '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions112233
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens771122
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons223344
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds 1334455
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds 2445566
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings556677
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers667711

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions112233
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens771122
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons223344
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds 1334455
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds 2445566
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings556677
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers667711

Conditions — 10/08/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 94%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity94% Pressure1017.6 hPa Rain0.22 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn · N 14 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.67 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →