SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 12 7 19
2 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 14 25 39
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 26 25 51
4 The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 14 47 61
5 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Vols 37 29 66
6 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 36 36 72
7 Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 52 23 75
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 44 45 89
9 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 38 54 92
10 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 57 41 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 1 4 1 2 2 12 Jack Gonzales '18
Elizabeth Lonergan '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 3 2 2 3 3 14 Abbie Probst '19
Carly Duffy '19
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 3 2 1 3 1 4 14 No Show
Nicholas Winch '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 6 3 4 4 1 26 Darby Reddaway '19 [1-4]
Conner Killham '18 [5-6]
Ronnie Ludwin '20 [1-2]
Joshua Kim '17 [3-4]
Lauren Yapp '18 [5-6]
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 6 4 6 5 8 7 36
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Vols 5 7 5 6 5 9 37 Ian Coyne '19
Nathan Brott '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 4 8 8 7 6 5 38 Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-6]
Halie Obrien '17 [1-2]
Kaylee Lane '15 [3-4]
Danielle Schaeffer '20 [5-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 5 7 8 7 10 44 Zack Morey '17
Jakeb Phillips '18
Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 9 9 9 10 9 6 52
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 10 10 9 10 8 57 Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Jonathan Arbour '19 [3-4]
Clare Sweeney '19 [1-2, 5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Mackey Leventis '19
Sally Roberts '19
Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 5 5 4 3 3 3 23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 3 7 4 6 2 25 David Sutton '19 [1-4]
Kyle Reed '20 [5-6]
Andres Menendez '17 [1-4]
David Schnelle '18 [5-6]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 2 1 2 9 5 25 Samuel Cabiness '20 [1-6]
Alexis Hug-Marshall '16 [1-4]
Austin Schulte '17 [5-6]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Vols 4 6 3 5 4 7 29 Matthew Art '18
Christopher Haseler '18
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 7 7 6 8 2 6 36
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 4 10 6 5 8 41 Kirsten Failing '17
David Reuss '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 8 9 9 8 9 45 Lucas Holde '20
Adam Augustine '19
The Citadel The Citadel Citadel 9 DSQ 5 7 DNF 4 47 Scott Adams '17
Henry Flowers '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 9 8 10 7 10 54 Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-2]
Erica Trotter '17 [3-6]
Erica Trotter '17 [1-2]
Emily Olive '17 [3-4]
Grant Grussing '15 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers10108866
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel664422
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers997755
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs553311
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets886644
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack775533
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks331199
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Vols22101088
SeahawksSeahawks Seahawks44221010
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt119977

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers997755
The CitadelThe Citadel Citadel553311
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers886644
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs44221010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets775533
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack664422
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks22101088
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Vols119977
SeahawksSeahawks Seahawks331199
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt10108866

Conditions — 09/17/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1018.3 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 90°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From SSW (208°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1018.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →