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Buckeye Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 4 8
2 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4 9 13
3 Boilermakers Boilermakers Boilermakers 8 11 19
4 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 10 10 20
5 Broncos Broncos Broncos 12 8 20
6 Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 10 14 24
7 Denison University Denison University Big Red 10 15 25
8 Spartans Spartans Spartans 16 10 26
9 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 20 13 33
10 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 16 18 34
11 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 24 24 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 2 2 4 Colin Mackay '17
Carrington Gelardi '18
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 1 4 Kevin Gallagher '21
Chloe Frentzel '21
Boilermakers Boilermakers Boilermakers 4 4 8
Denison University Denison University Big Red 1 9 10 Margot Sherman Jollis '18
Hanora Lucey '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 5 5 10 Jack Rodman '19
Lori Myer '18
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 7 3 10
Broncos Broncos Broncos 6 6 12
Spartans Spartans Spartans 8 8 16
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 9 7 16 William Ervin '19
Zachary Anderson '21
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 10 10 20 Noah Brush '19
Becca Fuss '20
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats DNS DNS 24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 3 1 4 Brian Pribe '22
Jessica Ruetz '18
Broncos Broncos Broncos 1 7 8
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 7 2 9 Leah Peluchiwski '20
Mitchell Koppinger '20
Spartans Spartans Spartans 4 6 10
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 5 5 10 Adam Sturgeon '18
Casey Schomer '20
Boilermakers Boilermakers Boilermakers 2 9 11
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 9 4 13 Garrett Hall '22
Olivia Kruczynska '19
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 6 8 14
Denison University Denison University Big Red DNF 3 15 Sarah Mackenzie '21
Alexandra Hogan '20
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 8 10 18 Elliott Bates '21
Ryan Sarver '20
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats DNS DNS 24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red11
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks33
SpartansSpartans Spartans44
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats55
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish99
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats22
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 166
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 277
BoilermakersBoilermakers Boilermakers88
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets1010
BroncosBroncos Broncos1111

Division B

Team1B2B
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red22
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks44
SpartansSpartans Spartans55
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats66
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish1010
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats33
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 177
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 288
BoilermakersBoilermakers Boilermakers99
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets1111
BroncosBroncos Broncos11

Conditions — 09/16/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1021.3 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.3 kn
avg  ·  max 3.1 kn
Gusts to 9.9 kn
From SE (128°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1021.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 5 kn · SE 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.26)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.36)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.26 means a rating gap counts about 23% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →