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Nittany Lion Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 6 7 13
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 19 19 38
3 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 19 27 46
4 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 26 32 58
5 Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 41 MRP 33 MRP 74 MRP
6 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 36 40 76
7 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 42 35 77
8 IUP IUP IUP 67 MRP 66 MRP 133 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Christopher Magno '22
Katherine Roberts '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 3 4 2 4 3 3 19 Declan Gaylo '19 [1-6]
Josiah Ng '19 [1-2]
Robert Maes '21 [3-4]
Alexander Koziol '21 [5-6]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 3 3 2 2 4 19 Troy Dittenhofer '20
Angelina Graham '19
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 4 2 5 5 4 6 26 Julia Howard-Flanders '21
Elizabeth Cloherty '19
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 7 6 6 6 6 5 36 Austin Wyles '20
Max Paikin '21
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 2 5 4 3 5 2 41 MRP
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 6 7 7 7 7 8 42 Annelies Mccann '19 [1-6]
Victoria Castano '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Tomasso Giampapa '20 [3-4]
IUP IUP IUP 8 8 8 8 8 7 67 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 2 1 1 1 1 7 Reid Shanabrook '22 [1-6]
Emma Corbitt '19 [1-4]
Shannon Brassil '20 [5-6]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 3 3 3 2 4 4 19 Blake Loncharich '19 [1-6]
Ryan Flanagan '21 [1-4]
Bret Sharman '21 [5-6]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 6 7 4 3 2 27 Sean Boland '18
Kristen Donohue '18
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 4 8 5 5 5 5 32 Dane Brazinski '21
Regina Trejo '21
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 2 1 2 3 2 3 33 MRP
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 6 4 4 6 DNF 6 35 Tiffany Snyder '19 [1-6]
Luke Dionne '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Aidan Neigh '21 [3-4]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 8 5 6 7 7 7 40 Brendan Mccue '21
Raymond Bryant '21
IUP IUP IUP 7 7 DNF DNF 6 8 66 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls232325251919
IUPIUP IUP191921212323
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers242427272020
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings202022222424
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions212123232525
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange222224242727
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies252519192121
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers272720202222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls242427272020
IUPIUP IUP202022222424
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers252519192121
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings212123232525
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions222224242727
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange232325251919
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies272720202222
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers191921212323

Conditions — 10/28/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1010.4 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.9 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From S (176°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine7.3 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1010.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Penn State: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Penn State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Penn State: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →