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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 28 15 43
2 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 19 27 46
3 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 36 17 53
4 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 24 32 56
5 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 33 34 67
6 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 54 MRP 67 MRP 121 MRP
7 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 70 MRP 72 MRP 142 MRP
8 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 92 MRP 92 MRP 184 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 3 1 2 5 1 2 3 2 19 Brendan O’Connor '21
Ann Bell '20
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 4 1 1 5 6 4 1 24 Lindsey Winter '20
Paula Cabot Jaume '22
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 1 5 5 7 2 4 1 3 28 Bryce Merrill '21
Madison Plasket '19
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 6 2 3 6 6 3 2 5 33 River Dixon '20
Angelina Graham '19
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 5 6 6 2 3 5 5 4 36 Elizabeth Bailey '21 [1-4]
Zak Dasaro '21 [5-8]
Walker Stamps '22 [1-2]
Shelby Kinch '22 [3-4]
Gina Feliz '22 [5-6]
Julia Lane '22 [7-8]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 4 3 4 4 4 1 7 7 54 MRP Morgan Kelly '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Tanner Mathias '20 [5-6]
Tyler Merrow '21 [1-8]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 7 7 7 3 7 7 6 6 70 MRP Emma Rigassio '22 [1-8]
Zhenyu Yin '21 [1-2]
Cole Cappello '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Shrey Prithyani '22 [5-6]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 92 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers 1 1 2 1 3 1 2 4 15 Aaron Fairchild '21
Emily Mcconnell '22
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 17 William Cowen-Breen '22 [1-2]
Connor Larson '22 [3-8]
Todd Gilman '20 [1-2]
Minji Park '22 [3-4]
Isabella Impalli '22 [5-8]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 5 3 3 3 5 2 4 2 27 Elizabeth Loughan '21
Whitney Kopp '21
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 5 4 5 4 4 5 3 32 Tobias Green '22
Lauren Beich '21
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 4 6 5 4 2 5 3 5 34 Bianca Robertson '20
Robby Fuggi '19
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 3 4 7 6 7 7 7 6 67 MRP Patrick Rigor '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Brady Price '20 [3-6]
William Manning '22 [1-2]
Austin Weigel '21 [3-4]
Mikaela Eck '21 [5-6]
Danielle Powell '22 [7-8]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 7 7 6 7 6 6 6 7 72 MRP Adam Warner '22 [1-8]
Shrey Prithyani '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Zhenyu Yin '21 [3-6]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 92 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens77881122
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11223344
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds22334455
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings33445566
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions44556677
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers88112233
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55667788
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights66778811

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens77881122
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11223344
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds22334455
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings33445566
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions44556677
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Pitt Panthers88112233
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55667788
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights66778811
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Lindsey Winter '20 Paula Cabot Jaume '22
Dragons Tobias Green '22 Lauren Beich '21
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Brendan O’Connor '21 Ann Bell '20
Greyhounds Elizabeth Loughan '21 Whitney Kopp '21
Ocean County College Ocean County College River Dixon '20 Angelina Graham '19
Vikings Bianca Robertson '20 Robby Fuggi '19
Penn State University Penn State University No Show No Show
Nittany Lions No Show No Show
Princeton University Princeton University Elizabeth Bailey '21 [1-4]
Zak Dasaro '21 [5-8]		 Walker Stamps '22 [1-2]
Shelby Kinch '22 [3-4]
Gina Feliz '22 [5-6]
Julia Lane '22 [7-8]
Tigers William Cowen-Breen '22 [1-2]
Connor Larson '22 [3-8]		 Todd Gilman '20 [1-2]
Minji Park '22 [3-4]
Isabella Impalli '22 [5-8]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Emma Rigassio '22 [1-8] Zhenyu Yin '21 [1-2]
Cole Cappello '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Shrey Prithyani '22 [5-6]
Scarlet Knights Adam Warner '22 [1-8] Shrey Prithyani '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Zhenyu Yin '21 [3-6]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Morgan Kelly '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Tanner Mathias '20 [5-6]		 Tyler Merrow '21 [1-8]
Blue Hens Patrick Rigor '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Brady Price '20 [3-6]		 William Manning '22 [1-2]
Austin Weigel '21 [3-4]
Mikaela Eck '21 [5-6]
Danielle Powell '22 [7-8]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Bryce Merrill '21 Madison Plasket '19
Pitt Panthers Aaron Fairchild '21 Emily Mcconnell '22

Conditions — 10/06/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From S (172°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine1.3 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1022.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn · SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.30
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →