Thpooky

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Fins 6 Fins 6 Fins 6 8 8
2 Fins 10 Fins 10 Fins 10 17 17
3 Fins 8 Fins 8 Fins 8 18 18
4 Fins 1 Fins 1 Fins 1 22 22
5 Fins 7 Fins 7 Fins 7 31 31
6 Fins 9 Fins 9 Fins 9 37 37
7 Fins 11 Fins 11 Fins 11 38 38
8 Fins 2 Fins 2 Fins 2 39 39
9 Fins 5 Fins 5 Fins 5 40 40
10 Fins 3 Fins 3 Fins 3 41 41
11 Fins 4 Fins 4 Fins 4 45 45
12 Fins 12 Fins 12 Fins 12 54 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT
Fins 6 Fins 6 Fins 6 1 1 1 4 1 8
Fins 10 Fins 10 Fins 10 4 3 7 1 2 17
Fins 8 Fins 8 Fins 8 5 4 2 2 5 18
Fins 1 Fins 1 Fins 1 2 5 4 8 3 22
Fins 7 Fins 7 Fins 7 11 7 3 6 4 31
Fins 9 Fins 9 Fins 9 9 10 6 5 7 37
Fins 11 Fins 11 Fins 11 3 9 8 10 8 38
Fins 2 Fins 2 Fins 2 7 6 9 7 10 39
Fins 5 Fins 5 Fins 5 6 8 5 9 12 40
Fins 3 Fins 3 Fins 3 8 2 10 12 9 41
Fins 4 Fins 4 Fins 4 12 12 12 3 6 45
Fins 12 Fins 12 Fins 12 10 11 11 11 11 54
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Fins 1Fins 1 Fins 111111
Fins 10Fins 10 Fins 102020202020
Fins 11Fins 11 Fins 111111111111
Fins 12Fins 12 Fins 122222222222
Fins 2Fins 2 Fins 222222
Fins 3Fins 3 Fins 333333
Fins 4Fins 4 Fins 444444
Fins 5Fins 5 Fins 555555
Fins 6Fins 6 Fins 666666
Fins 7Fins 7 Fins 777777
Fins 8Fins 8 Fins 888888
Fins 9Fins 9 Fins 91919191919

Conditions — 10/31/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1021.7 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From ENE (76°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1021.7 hPa

What this breeze does at Jacksonville — from fleet racing

Breeze: E about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Jacksonville in this breeze: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled fleet-race days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →