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2019 Buckeye Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 35 28 63
2 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 38 32 70
3 Rockets Rockets Rockets 50 43 93
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 41 57 98
5 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 69 61 130
6 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 56 75 131
7 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 64 75 139
8 Baldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace 61 81 142
9 CSU Sailing CSU Sailing CSU Sailing 93 71 164
10 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 97 81 178
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 1 2 2 8 2 1 8 4 2 4 35 Nick Maude '22 [1-11]
Hannah Anise Posedel '23 [1-2, 7-11]
Karly Jagodzinski '21 [3-6]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 7 5 3 1 1 5 4 3 2 1 6 38 Christian Green '20 [1-11]
Kata Lamb '20 [1-8]
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto '22 [9-11]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 4 5 3 5 1 8 1 3 8 1 41 Eva Rossell '23 [1-11]
Corinne Nedeau '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brenna Hover '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Rockets Rockets Rockets 4 2 6 10 6 6 6 4 1 3 2 50
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 6 3 4 9 2 7 2 5 5 5 8 56 Grace Goszkowicz '22
Charles Soucey '22
Baldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace 3 8 8 4 4 4 3 9 7 4 7 61 Christopher Corrigan '21 [1-11]
Kyle Aerni '20 [1-2]
Kaitlin Compernolle '20 [3-11]
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 8 6 10 8 3 3 5 6 6 6 3 64 Susannah Schroeder '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Zachary Anderson '21 [3-4]
Anna Bloomquist '20 [1-2, 7-11]
Hopper Strauchler '23 [3-4]
Katie Mead '22 [5-6]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 5 7 1 6 9 8 7 2 8 7 9 69 Avery Lawrence '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Martin Moore '22 [3-4, 9-10]
Emily Wise '21 [5-6, 11]
Kayla Hepler '21 [1-2]
Drew Ayers '23 [3-4]
Sabrina Ellison '23 [5-6]
Amy Muhlenkamp '22 [7-8]
Catherine Mcclure '23 [9-10]
Roman Sanchez '21 [11]
CSU Sailing CSU Sailing CSU Sailing 10 10 7 5 7 9 10 7 9 9 10 93
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 9 9 9 7 10 10 9 RDG 10 10 5 97 Cassidy Chalut '21 [1-11]
Ashley Dimarzo '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Taylor Marshall '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 3 1 1 2 4 4 2 1 3 1 6 28 Siri Schantz '23 [1-11]
Jackie Clark '24 [1-2]
Sarah Sanford '21 [3-4]
Erin Burk '22 [5-8]
Jordan Schneider '21 [9-10]
Attallah Stafford '23 [11]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4 4 2 1 2 3 1 2 2 4 7 32 James Kennedy '20 [1-11]
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Daniel Timofeev '22 [3-4, 7-11]
Rockets Rockets Rockets 1 2 5 9 3 2 9 RDG 1 2 5 43
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 3 9 4 7 7 6 6 4 7 2 57 Hosni Berker '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Teddy Prokop '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Katelyn Evans '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Matthew Higgins '22 [3-4, 11]
Brandon Baswell '22 [7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 7 10 7 3 1 1 10 8 7 6 1 61 Casey Schomer '20 [1-2]
Alexander Kiraly '20 [3-4, 9-10]
Natalie Dugan '22 [5-6, 11]
Ronald Fiala '21 [7-8]
Sydney Disalvo '20 [1-2]
Madeline Osborne '21 [3-4]
Addy Zenko '23 [5-6]
Logan Glenwright '23 [7-8]
Chloe Huggins '23 [9-10]
Cam Stepka '22 [11]
CSU Sailing CSU Sailing CSU Sailing 9 8 3 7 6 8 5 4 8 3 10 71
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 5 5 8 10 10 9 8 7 5 5 3 75 Jacob Maher '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Ryan Sarver '20 [3-4]
David Jones '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Mason Neurath '23 [3-4]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 6 7 6 5 8 10 4 3 9 9 8 75 Conor Burns '21
Jonathan Mccrackin '22
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 8 6 10 6 5 5 7 10 10 10 4 81 Austin Miller '22 [1-11]
Justin Soules '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jessica Larsen '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Baldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace 10 9 4 8 9 6 3 9 6 8 9 81 Kyle Aerni '20
Sarah Shaheen '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Baldwin-Wallace UniversityBaldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace0020202222252571710
CSU SailingCSU Sailing CSU Sailing191921212323424212112119
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen20202222252571710020
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks212123234242121121191921
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans22222525717100202022
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish424212112119192121232342
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats25257171002020222225
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes232342421211211919212123
RocketsRockets Rockets71710020202222252571
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1211211919212123234242121

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Baldwin-Wallace UniversityBaldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace191921212323424212112119
CSU SailingCSU Sailing CSU Sailing20202222252571710020
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen212123234242121121191921
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks22222525717100202022
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans232342421211211919212123
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish71710020202222252571
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats424212112119192121232342
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes25257171002020222225
RocketsRockets Rockets1211211919212123234242121
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos0020202222252571710
School / Team SkipperCrew
Baldwin-Wallace University Baldwin-Wallace University Christopher Corrigan '21 [1-11] Kyle Aerni '20 [1-2]
Kaitlin Compernolle '20 [3-11]
Baldwin-Wallace Kyle Aerni '20 Sarah Shaheen '20
Hope College Hope College Grace Goszkowicz '22 Charles Soucey '22
Flying Dutchmen Conor Burns '21 Jonathan Mccrackin '22
Miami University Miami University Susannah Schroeder '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Zachary Anderson '21 [3-4]		 Anna Bloomquist '20 [1-2, 7-11]
Hopper Strauchler '23 [3-4]
Katie Mead '22 [5-6]
Red Hawks Jacob Maher '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Ryan Sarver '20 [3-4]		 David Jones '22 [1-2, 5-11]
Mason Neurath '23 [3-4]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Eva Rossell '23 [1-11] Corinne Nedeau '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brenna Hover '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Spartans Hosni Berker '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Teddy Prokop '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11]		 Katelyn Evans '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Matthew Higgins '22 [3-4, 11]
Brandon Baswell '22 [7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Avery Lawrence '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Martin Moore '22 [3-4, 9-10]
Emily Wise '21 [5-6, 11]		 Kayla Hepler '21 [1-2]
Drew Ayers '23 [3-4]
Sabrina Ellison '23 [5-6]
Amy Muhlenkamp '22 [7-8]
Catherine Mcclure '23 [9-10]
Roman Sanchez '21 [11]
Buckeyes Casey Schomer '20 [1-2]
Alexander Kiraly '20 [3-4, 9-10]
Natalie Dugan '22 [5-6, 11]
Ronald Fiala '21 [7-8]		 Sydney Disalvo '20 [1-2]
Madeline Osborne '21 [3-4]
Addy Zenko '23 [5-6]
Logan Glenwright '23 [7-8]
Chloe Huggins '23 [9-10]
Cam Stepka '22 [11]
Ohio University Ohio University Nick Maude '22 [1-11] Hannah Anise Posedel '23 [1-2, 7-11]
Karly Jagodzinski '21 [3-6]
Bobcats Siri Schantz '23 [1-11] Jackie Clark '24 [1-2]
Sarah Sanford '21 [3-4]
Erin Burk '22 [5-8]
Jordan Schneider '21 [9-10]
Attallah Stafford '23 [11]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Christian Green '20 [1-11] Kata Lamb '20 [1-8]
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto '22 [9-11]
Fighting Irish James Kennedy '20 [1-11] Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Daniel Timofeev '22 [3-4, 7-11]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Cassidy Chalut '21 [1-11] Ashley Dimarzo '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Taylor Marshall '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Broncos Austin Miller '22 [1-11] Justin Soules '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jessica Larsen '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11]

Conditions — 09/14/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.1 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1023.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.31 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →