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2019 Kilpatrick Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 14 9 23
2 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 17 17 34
3 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 23 29 52
4 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 39 26 65
5 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 27 39 66
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 1 14 Karina Bertelsmann '22
Lillian Andersen '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 2 1 2 2 2 4 2 2 17 Frederik Winguth '21
Warren Wegener '23
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 4 2 4 1 4 2 3 3 23 Marcin Kostrzewa '20 [1-4]
Emma Cooledge '20 [5-8]
Daniel Leffman '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Emma Cooledge '20 [3-4]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 3 4 3 4 3 1 5 4 27 Evan Evans '22
Will O'Hare '23
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 39 David Harlin '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Alejandro Endres '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Jean Paul Drapeau '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Alejandro Trejo '21 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 9 John Mason '23
Taima Crean '22
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 2 4 2 1 2 2 2 2 17 Theresa Mccomiskey '22
Thomas Norman '23
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 4 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 26 Jacob Beesley '22 [1-8]
Lauren Berry '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Olivia Miller '23 [3-4, 7-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 5 29 Jamie Weston '22 [1-4, 7-8]
Meri Keskimaula '22 [5-6]
Sara Curtis '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Meri Keskimaula '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 39 Emily Seiler '22
Gene Evans '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos22441133
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green33552244
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys11335522
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 144113355
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 255224411

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos33552244
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green44113355
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys22441133
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 155224411
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 211335522
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Evan Evans '22 Will O'Hare '23
Cowboys Emily Seiler '22 Gene Evans '24
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma David Harlin '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Alejandro Endres '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jean Paul Drapeau '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Alejandro Trejo '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Bronchos Jacob Beesley '22 [1-8] Lauren Berry '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Olivia Miller '23 [3-4, 7-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Marcin Kostrzewa '20 [1-4]
Emma Cooledge '20 [5-8]		 Daniel Leffman '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Emma Cooledge '20 [3-4]
Mean Green Jamie Weston '22 [1-4, 7-8]
Meri Keskimaula '22 [5-6]		 Sara Curtis '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Meri Keskimaula '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Karina Bertelsmann '22 Lillian Andersen '21
Longhorns 1 John Mason '23 Taima Crean '22
University of Texas University of Texas Frederik Winguth '21 Warren Wegener '23
Longhorns 2 Theresa Mccomiskey '22 Thomas Norman '23

Conditions — 10/05/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 29.9 kn
From WSW (243°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1014.0 hPa Rain0.33 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Central Oklahoma: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.81 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Central Oklahoma by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Central Oklahoma: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →