Hoosier Mama

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 9 7 16
2 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 13 22 35
3 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 18 19 37
4 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 24 14 38
5 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 26 28 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 2 1 1 1 3 9 Siri Schantz '23 [1, 3]
Nick Maude '22 [2, 4-6]
Nick Maude '22 [1, 3]
Siri Schantz '23 [2, 4]
Maxwell Bissett '22 [5-6]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 2 1 2 4 2 2 13 Elizabeth Ryan '20
Sarah Covey '20
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 3 5 3 3 3 1 18 Benjamin Casler '22
Justin York '22
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 5 4 4 2 4 5 24 Susannah Schroeder '22
Abigail O'Rourke '21
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 4 3 5 5 5 4 26 Cassidy Chalut '21
Noah Swany '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 2 1 1 1 1 7 John Holbrook '20
Andrew Klunzinger '23
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 3 1 2 2 3 3 14 Charles Hoffmann '21
Katharine Bradley '21
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 4 3 3 5 2 2 19 James Miller '23 [1-4]
Hunter Ahlquist '21 [5-6]
Wynant Slayton '22 [1-4]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 2 4 5 3 4 4 22 Emily Lavey '22
Josh Bogner '22
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 5 5 4 4 5 5 28 Jing Hong Puah '23 [1-4]
Kaitlyn Mcguirk '21 [5-6]
Justin Soules '23 [1-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers113355
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks224411
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats335522
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers441133
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos552244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers224411
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks335522
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats441133
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers552244
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos113355

Conditions — 10/12/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From WSW (250°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1016.5 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · SW 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Indiana: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.83 ± 0.34)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Indiana by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Indiana, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →