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Nittany Lion Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 5 8 13
2 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 19 8 27
3 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 20 25 45
4 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 27 21 48
5 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 1 14 35 49
6 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 2 32 26 58
7 Gannon University Gannon University Knights 29 36 65
8 Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 39 29 68
9 Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 42 39 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 1 1 1 1 5 Charlotte Smith '22 [1-5]
Bridgette Sanok '22 [1-4]
Patrick Mahoney '21 [5]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 1 2 2 3 2 5 14 Kristian Sonsteby '20
Zachary Yohe '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 3 5 4 3 4 19 David Fehrle '21
Allie Champion '23
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 5 3 5 5 2 20 Lauryn Schiller '21 [1-5]
Hunter Sugg '23 [1-2]
Lola Rubio Alberca '21 [3-4]
Amanda Hong '22 [5]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 6 6 6 6 3 27 Mckenzie Brown '21 [1-5]
Risa Bodkin '22 [1-4]
Jeremy Hopkins '20 [5]
Gannon University Gannon University Knights DNS 7 2 4 6 29 Helen Livingston '22
Samantha Kenyon '20
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 2 4 4 8 9 7 32 Victoria Castano '21
Jessica Segal '21
Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 7 9 7 8 8 39 Shane Parker '20 [1-4]
Roman Quinn '20 [5]
Katie Brashear '22 [1-4]
Daniel O'Brien '22 [5]
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 8 8 9 7 DNS 42 Nicholas Sova '21
Benjamin Uberti '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 1 2 2 2 8 James Corckran '23 [1-2]
John Carroll '21 [3-5]
John Carroll '21 [1-2]
James Corckran '23 [3-5]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 3 1 1 1 8 Dane Brazinski '21 [1-5]
Cooper Pyle '23 [1-2]
David Griffin '21 [3-5]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 3 4 5 3 6 21 Caroline Westrick '20 [1-5]
Jeremy Hopkins '20 [1-2]
Kayla Downs '21 [3-5]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 4 6 3 7 5 25 William Jones '23 [1-5]
Syed Waleed Tariq '21 [1-2]
Abagail O’Brien '23 [3-4]
Lola Rubio Alberca '21 [5]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 2 6 7 4 5 4 26 Dean Swanson '21
Sarah Jensen '20
Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 7 2 9 8 3 29 Mitchell Gonzales '19 [1-4]
Nolan Grimes '21 [5]
Friedrich Mittelstadt '20 [1-4]
Roman Quinn '20 [5]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 1 5 5 7 9 9 35 Jessica Traub '20
Kirsten Hedderick '21
Gannon University Gannon University Knights DNF 8 6 4 8 36 Aaron Kennedy '21
Jessica Thomas '23
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 8 DNF 8 6 7 39 Anthony Perini '23
Marcus Murphy '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights1919212123
Indiana University of PennsylvaniaIndiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks2020222224
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers2525282820
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions 12222242427
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions 22323252528
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions2121232325
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers2727191921
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange2424272719
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies2828202022

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Gannon UniversityGannon University Knights2020222224
Indiana University of PennsylvaniaIndiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks2121232325
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers2727191921
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions 12323252528
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions 22424272719
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions2222242427
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers2828202022
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange2525282820
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1919212123

Conditions — 10/26/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From E (95°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1022.9 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Penn State: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.21 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.52 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Penn State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Penn State: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →