Protest Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 38
2 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 81
3 Mariners Mariners Mariners 91
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 16 Niall Sheridan '23
Sara Morrison '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 3 1 4 1 1 3 2 3 2 2 22 Madeline Simms '23
Kristina Puzak '22
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 4 2 3 3 4 1 3 2 3 4 29 Sarah Herde '21
Claire Deplanck '20
Mariners Mariners Mariners A 2 4 1 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 33
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 6 5 52 Nicholas Hill '20
Courtney Tally '23
Mariners Mariners Mariners B 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 6 58
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1111111111
MarinersMariners Mariners2222222222
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos3333333333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats5555555555
MarinersMariners Mariners6666666666
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7777777777

Conditions — 10/06/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1025.9 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From SSW (192°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine5.3 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1025.9 hPa

What this breeze does at Bates — from fleet racing

Breeze: S about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Bates in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bates by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Bates, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →