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SAISA South Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 25 34 59
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 32 29 61
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 45 31 76
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 38 38 76
5 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 59 38 97
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 55 61 116
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 71 61 132
8 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 63 72 135
9 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 69 88 157
10 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 102 99 201
11 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 105 110 215
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 2 1 4 1 1 3 3 2 4 4 25 Daniel Vail '21
Virginia Kilbourne '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 4 3 3 6 1 1 4 2 7 32 Alec Fisichella '23
Liam Farese '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 5 2 2 7 2 9 2 5 1 3 38 Chris Kiener '21 [1-10]
Abbey Walls '23 [1-4]
Courtney Purcell '20 [5-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 3 1 5 7 7 8 7 3 1 45 Christian Koules '21
Lexie Foos '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 4 6 5 2 5 8 6 1 10 8 55 Ben Mckissick-Hawley '20
Grace Benzal '23
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 9 5 8 4 4 4 4 8 8 5 59 Kurban Ali '21
Dalton Edeker '23
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 10 9 9 8 3 5 5 6 6 2 63 Nick Baker '20
Simon Munoz '20
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 8 7 7 9 8 2 9 3 7 9 69 Anna Millbourn '22
Olivia Smith '23
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 11 6 6 9 6 7 9 5 6 71 John Macmoyle '21
Trevor Robohn '22
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 11 8 11 11 11 11 10 10 9 10 102 Jack Rachek '21
Maeve Carmichael '23
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 7 10 10 10 10 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS 105 Aaron Maggiacomo '20
Corinna Lambright '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 3 3 3 2 1 2 7 2 5 29 No Show
No Show
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 2 2 6 5 6 3 1 3 1 31 Ethan Hanley '23
Erika Desonie '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 4 1 5 4 1 8 4 3 1 3 34 Sean Tallman '22
Jackie Morrison '23
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 3 7 4 1 3 4 6 2 4 4 38 Mateo Rodriguez '23
Griffin Pollis '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 7 4 1 2 6 2 1 5 8 2 38 Nathan Ikeda '21 [1-10]
Elizabeth Johnson '22 [1-6]
Piper Desantis '23 [7-10]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 5 6 7 8 7 7 5 4 6 6 61 Jarret Monroe '23
Lauren Theis '22
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 5 6 5 8 3 8 6 7 7 61 Dominic Canonico '23
Ryan Appleby '22
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 9 8 9 7 4 5 7 9 5 9 72 Carly Orhan '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Connor Teague '23 [3-4, 7-10]
Ruth Reischmann '23 [1-8]
Carly Orhan '23 [9-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 8 9 8 10 9 10 9 8 9 8 88 Piper Blackford '21
Lily Theisen '23
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 10 10 10 9 11 9 10 10 10 10 99 Brian Herbster '23
Chris Contreras '23
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 11 11 11 11 10 11 11 11 DNS 11 110 Brittany Becker '20
Emily Higginbotham '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 113131414151516161717
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 214141515161617171818
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles15151616171718181919
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles16161717181819192020
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 117171818191920202121
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 220202121222223231313
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes21212222232313131414
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish18181919202021212222
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars19192020212122222323
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls22222323131314141515
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women23231313141415151616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 11122334455
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 22233445566
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles3344556677
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles4455667788
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 15566778899
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 288991010111111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes99101011111122
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish667788991010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars77889910101111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls10101111112233
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women111111223344

Conditions — 09/14/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.8 kn
avg  ·  max 16.6 kn
Gusts to 29.0 kn
From NE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1018.6 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →