Stony Brook Fall Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 37
2 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 57
3 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 75
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Columbia University Columbia University Lions B 1 1 2 2 2 3 1 6 18 Alix Trébaol '21 [1-8]
Tiernaur Anderson '20 [1-4]
Alison Keenan '22 [5-8]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions A 4 3 1 1 1 1 6 2 19 Mateo Navarro Goldaraz '20 [1-6]
Emily Ringrose '23 [7-8]
Alison Keenan '22 [1-4]
Tiernaur Anderson '20 [5-6]
Oona Dederer '23 [7-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights B 2 2 3 3 5 5 2 1 23 Henry Jensen '23
Emily Robinson '22
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights A 3 6 4 6 3 4 4 4 34 Gil Hankinson '23 [1-8]
James Nichols '21 [1-4]
Clara Bartram '22 [5-8]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves A 6 4 DNF 5 4 2 3 3 34 Jessica Schaefer '23
Johanna Mitra '22
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves B 5 5 5 4 6 6 5 5 41 Keith Bannerman '22 [1-8]
Danna Chavez '23 [1-4]
Kathleen Wong '23 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights33445566
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11223344
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves22116655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights66554433
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions44332211
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves55661122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Mateo Navarro Goldaraz '20 [1-6]
Emily Ringrose '23 [7-8]
Alison Keenan '22 [1-4]
Tiernaur Anderson '20 [5-6]
Oona Dederer '23 [7-8]
Lions Alix Trébaol '21 [1-8] Tiernaur Anderson '20 [1-4]
Alison Keenan '22 [5-8]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Jessica Schaefer '23 Johanna Mitra '22
Seawolves Keith Bannerman '22 [1-8] Danna Chavez '23 [1-4]
Kathleen Wong '23 [5-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Gil Hankinson '23 [1-8] James Nichols '21 [1-4]
Clara Bartram '22 [5-8]
Black Knights Henry Jensen '23 Emily Robinson '22

Conditions — 10/12/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1014.2 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From N (356°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1014.2 hPa

What this breeze does at Stony Brook — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Stony Brook in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled fleet-race days at Stony Brook).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →