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The Golden Bailer Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 10 16
2 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 14 6 20
3 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 10 11 21
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 6 18 24
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 13 14 27
6 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 14 13 27
7 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 22 14 36
8 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 23 26 49
9 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 27 23 50
10 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 33 33 66
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles113
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators779
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers224
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs8810
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets335
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins446
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes991
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 1557
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 2668
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls10102

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles222
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators888
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers333
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs999
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins555
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes101010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 1666
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 2777
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111

Conditions — 10/03/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1017.3 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1017.3 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →