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SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 8 12
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 16 3 19
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 12 7 19
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 7 13 20
5 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 8 17 25
6 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 16 21 37
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 22 19 41
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 23 20 43
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs555
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks777
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers888
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks666
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores999

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers333
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs666
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets444
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks888
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers999
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks777
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores222

Conditions — 10/02/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1022.4 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.8 kn
avg  ·  max 4.2 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From SE (133°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover42% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1022.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.81 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →