Peak Foliage

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 4 8
2 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 17 14 31
3 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 15 16 31
4 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 24 25 49
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 28 22 50
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 27 24 51
7 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 22 35 57
8 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 33 30 63
9 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 26 44 70
10 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 33 39 72
11 Williams College Williams College Ephs 49 33 82
12 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 35 48 83
13 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 53 35 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 1 1 4 Christian Cushman '25
Sam Thompson '24
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 6 4 3 2 15 Grace Cannon '23
Katelyn Howe '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 2 10 2 3 17 James Jagielski '25
Aaron Blust '24
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 7 3 6 6 22 Thomas Bouchard '21
Parker Finkelstein '23
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 3 9 7 5 24 Colby Green '25
Alex Provasnik '25
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 8 5 4 9 26 Dane Phippen '23
Andrew Brown '23
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 11 2 10 4 27 Will Rudaz '22
Avery Wilson '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 5 8 5 10 28 Addison Stead '23
George Desmond '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 11 11 7 33 Joseph Gehl '25
Manuel Morillo '23
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 10 7 8 8 33 Victor Lomba '25
Dominic Ioime '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 9 6 9 11 35 Daniel Faivre '24
Samuel Grahl '24
Williams College Williams College Ephs 12 12 12 13 49 Felix Nusbaum '25
James Burge '24
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 13 DNF DNF 12 53 Charlotte Maffie '25
Maple Buescher '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 1 1 4 Calvin Lamosse '25
Caroline James '24
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 2 8 2 2 14 Colin Snow '22
Alexander Miller '22
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 6 2 3 5 16 Anne Berg '25
Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 3 3 4 12 22 John Van Zanten '25
Daniel Stewart '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 5 6 5 8 24 James Sullivan '25
Benjamin Haddad '24
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 8 4 7 6 25 Gray Dinsel '25
Oliver Rhee '25
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 4 9 6 11 30 Jack Eddy '21
Jonah Raymond '22
Williams College Williams College Ephs 11 5 10 7 33 Nick Harrington '23
Viviana Barberi '24
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 7 10 DNF 4 35 Devyn Weed '25 [1-3]
Clayton Greig '22 [4]
Clayton Greig '22 [1-3]
Devyn Weed '25 [4]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 9 7 9 10 35 Mitchel Soederberg '25
Anders Landgren '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 12 8 9 39 Robin Potter '25
Breanna Guo '25
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 13 DNS DNS 3 44 Wesley Pratt '25
Giselle Flores '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 12 11 11 DNS 48 Robert Houde '23
Richard Pagliuca '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 11113
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 22224
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons3335
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 14446
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 25557
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers6668
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 188810
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 299911
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 310101012
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix7779
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11111113
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1212121
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1313132

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 12224
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 23335
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons4446
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15557
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 26668
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7779
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 199911
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 210101012
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 311111113
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix88810
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1212121
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1313132
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1113

Conditions — 10/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1003.7 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From WNW (293°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover12% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1003.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 20 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →