Buckeye Invitational

HostOhio State
Date09/17/2022
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
Boat420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ohio State University	Buckeyes 1	19	22	41
2	Washington University	Bears	49	11	60
3	Michigan State University	Spartans	42	31	73
4	Purdue University	Boilermakers	34	40	74
5	Ohio State University	Buckeyes 2	29	68	97
6	Bobcats	Bobcats	47	53	100
7	Vikes	Vikes	57	43	100
8	Miami University	Red Hawks	47	57	104

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
Ohio State University	Buckeyes 1	1	4	2	4	4	1	1	1	1	19	Nadia Reynolds '25 [1-9] Mason Shaw '26 [1-2, 7-9] Benjamin Conrad '26 [3-4] Quinn Schwarz '25 [5-6]
Ohio State University	Buckeyes 2	4	6	1	1	2	2	4	2	7	29	Emily Williams '25 [1-9] Jolene Jirousek '25 [1-2, 5-6] Lindsey Allen '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Purdue University	Boilermakers	3	5	4	3	6	3	3	3	4	34	Joseph Mowrey '25 Mathis Destouches '25
Michigan State University	Spartans	7	2	6	5	1	4	8	6	3	42	Brynna Smith '22 Amelia Burke '23
Bobcats	Bobcats	2	3	5	2	7	5	7	8	8	47
Miami University	Red Hawks	5	1	7	7	5	7	5	4	6	47	Allison Hoeft '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Alexandra Knauer '24 [3-4, 7-8] Savannah Higley '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Matthew Back '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Washington University	Bears	8	7	3	8	3	6	2	7	5	49	Meredith Moore '23 Sarah Biedron '25
Vikes	Vikes	6	8	8	6	8	8	6	5	2	57

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
Washington University	Bears	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	11	Thomas Marino '26 Irmak Kuyucu '24
Ohio State University	Buckeyes 1	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	5	22	Noah Troyer '25 [1-9] Hamilton Hsing '24 [1-2] Charlie Burris '26 [3-4] Devin Nunez '23 [5-6] Jacob Suter '25 [7-9]
Michigan State University	Spartans	3	4	3	5	3	3	3	5	2	31	Teddy Prokop '23 [1-9] Mark Norse '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Kate Crannell '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Purdue University	Boilermakers	6	3	4	3	4	6	4	3	7	40	James Miller '23 Lukas Siegrist '23
Vikes	Vikes	1	6	6	6	6	4	6	4	4	43
Bobcats	Bobcats	5	5	7	7	5	5	7	6	6	53
Miami University	Red Hawks	DNF	8	5	4	8	8	5	7	3	57	Annabelle Maccartee '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Griffin Boothby '25 [3-4, 7-8] Sara Stortstrom '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9] William Butler '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Ohio State University	Buckeyes 2	7	7	8	8	7	7	8	8	8	68	Melissa Driscoll '24 [1-2, 5-6] Asha Edmondson '23 [3-4, 7-9] Rachel Teets '25 [1-2, 7-9] Bergen Eppers '23 [3-4] Clarice Newman '26 [5-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
Vikes Vikes	19	19	21	21	24	24	121	121	121
Miami University Red Hawks	20	20	22	22	25	25	223	223	223
Michigan State University Spartans	21	21	24	24	121	121	19	19	19
Bobcats Bobcats	25	25	223	223	20	20	22	22	22
Ohio State University Buckeyes 1	22	22	25	25	223	223	20	20	20
Ohio State University Buckeyes 2	24	24	121	121	19	19	21	21	21
Purdue University Boilermakers	121	121	19	19	21	21	24	24	24
Washington University Bears	223	223	20	20	22	22	25	25	25

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B
Vikes Vikes	20	20	22	22	25	25	223	223	223
Miami University Red Hawks	21	21	24	24	121	121	19	19	19
Michigan State University Spartans	24	24	223	223	223	223	20	20	20
Bobcats Bobcats	121	121	19	19	21	21	24	24	24
Ohio State University Buckeyes 1	22	22	25	25	19	19	21	21	21
Ohio State University Buckeyes 2	25	25	121	121	20	20	22	22	22
Purdue University Boilermakers	19	19	20	20	22	22	25	25	25
Washington University Bears	223	223	21	21	24	24	121	121	121

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Miami University	Allison Hoeft '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Alexandra Knauer '24 [3-4, 7-8]	Savannah Higley '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Matthew Back '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Red Hawks	Annabelle Maccartee '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Griffin Boothby '25 [3-4, 7-8]	Sara Stortstrom '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9] William Butler '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Michigan State University	Brynna Smith '22	Amelia Burke '23
Spartans	Teddy Prokop '23 [1-9]	Mark Norse '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Kate Crannell '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Ohio State University	Nadia Reynolds '25 [1-9]	Mason Shaw '26 [1-2, 7-9] Benjamin Conrad '26 [3-4] Quinn Schwarz '25 [5-6]
Buckeyes 1	Noah Troyer '25 [1-9]	Hamilton Hsing '24 [1-2] Charlie Burris '26 [3-4] Devin Nunez '23 [5-6] Jacob Suter '25 [7-9]
Ohio State University	Emily Williams '25 [1-9]	Jolene Jirousek '25 [1-2, 5-6] Lindsey Allen '25 [3-4, 7-9]
Buckeyes 2	Melissa Driscoll '24 [1-2, 5-6] Asha Edmondson '23 [3-4, 7-9]	Rachel Teets '25 [1-2, 7-9] Bergen Eppers '23 [3-4] Clarice Newman '26 [5-6]
Purdue University	Joseph Mowrey '25	Mathis Destouches '25
Boilermakers	James Miller '23	Lukas Siegrist '23
Washington University	Meredith Moore '23	Sarah Biedron '25
Bears	Thomas Marino '26	Irmak Kuyucu '24

Conditions — 09/17/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 65% · Pressure 1020.8 hPa

Temperature

75°F

↑ 82°F ↓ 61°F

Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

5.0 kn

avg · max 6.0 kn

Gusts to 13.4 kn

From S (189°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1020.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Ohio State: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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